Democratic
Colby Watson
Major-party general-election nominee.
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North Carolina District 8 election, 2026
Colby Watson vs. Mark Harris on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Mark Harris favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+18.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+19.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Mark Harris
Incumbent representative for NC-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-8. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Harris Sounds Alarm, Feds Launch Title IX Probe Into North Carolina Schools
FIRST ON THE DAILY SIGNAL—The Department of Education has launched an investigation into a North Carolina public school district as officials continue to allow biological men in women’s restrooms, violating presidential executive orders and Title IX. Rep. Mar…
Daily Signal · June 1, 2026
Mark Harris Says Teachers Marching For Better Education Funding Is Marxism
North Carolina teachers are marching tomorrow in Raleigh to demand more funding for public education. Rep. Mark Harris says "this is not just democracy, this is Marxism."
Peoplefor.org · April 30, 2026
GOP civil war erupts as differences over funding bill fester: report
Republicans in Congress continue to be at odds over how to advance a reconciliation package in the Senate to fund Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol, the Washington Examiner reported on Wednesday.At issue is whether the bill, engineered to …
Raw Story · April 22, 2026
TSA agent insults 'low IQ' GOP lawmaker to his face without knowing it
Rep. Mark Harris (R-NC) revealed that he was insulted by a TSA agent who didn't know he was a congressman.On Tuesday, Harris told Real America Voice host Steve Gruber about his experience at a TSA checkpoint in Charlotte during the partial government shutdown…
Raw Story · March 24, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗