Democratic
Colby Watson
Major-party general-election nominee.
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North Carolina District 8 election, 2026
Colby Watson vs. Mark Harris on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Mark Harris favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+10.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+19.62026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Mark Harris
Incumbent representative for NC-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Bo Whitehead · Green
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Mark HarrisREP · incumbent$1.2M raised
Spent $935kCash on hand $411k9% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$191k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$47k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$34k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$29k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$24k
States
- NC$670k
- SC$23k
- NY$20k
- TN$17k
- TX$17k
Colby WatsonDEM$58k raised
Spent $53kCash on hand $4k27% from donors under $200Self-funded $25k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$6k
- Retired$2k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$1k
- Not Reported$500
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$250
States
- NC$11k
- CA$150
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in North Carolina's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Democrats ERUPT after Trump shuts down LGBTQ+ policy from Biden
The Trump administration has shut down an extension of special protections for certain LGBTQ+ members imposed under former President Joe Biden, and Democrats are imploding. In 2024, Biden included sexual orientation and gender identity under the categories th…
TheBlaze · September 28, 2026
Harris Sounds Alarm, Feds Launch Title IX Probe Into North Carolina Schools
FIRST ON THE DAILY SIGNAL—The Department of Education has launched an investigation into a North Carolina public school district as officials continue to allow biological men in women’s restrooms, violating presidential executive orders and Title IX. Rep. Mar…
Daily Signal · June 1, 2026
Mark Harris Says Teachers Marching For Better Education Funding Is Marxism
North Carolina teachers are marching tomorrow in Raleigh to demand more funding for public education. Rep. Mark Harris says "this is not just democracy, this is Marxism."
Peoplefor.org · April 30, 2026
GOP civil war erupts as differences over funding bill fester: report
Republicans in Congress continue to be at odds over how to advance a reconciliation package in the Senate to fund Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol, the Washington Examiner reported on Wednesday.At issue is whether the bill, engineered to …
Raw Story · April 22, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗