Democratic
Michael DeCillis
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Nicole Malliotakis favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+20.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Nicole Malliotakis
Incumbent representative for NY-11. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-11. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Trump’s Plan to Sell F-35s to Turkey Becomes an Even Greater Disaster
President Trump said in a meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Tuesday that he plans to lift sanctions to allow the country to buy F-35 fighter jets. “We’re going to be taking the sanctions off, OK? I don’t want him to waste his time answering …
The New Republic · July 7, 2026
Hasan Piker Called Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s $15 Million Wedding “A Dramatic Misuse Of Public Resources.” a Republican Congresswoman Wants Them to Write the NYPD a Check
Piker made the case on his Twitch stream, tying the wedding to his broader argument about billionaires and public money. Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, a New York Republican, followed with a public deman…
Thoughtcatalog.com · July 4, 2026
Republican Nicole Malliotakis Ditches Problem Solvers Caucus After Democrats Refuse To Budge On Trans Issue
Republican New York Rep. Nicole Malliotakis resigned as vice chair of the Problem Solvers Caucus over her frustration with Democrats.
The Daily Caller · May 22, 2026
House defies Trump on immigration policy as GOP ranks splinter
A small group of defectors in the House Republican caucus broke ranks and joined Democrats to advance a rebuke of President Donald Trump on a key immigration policy this week, handing the president a humiliation and a danger sign for his coalition's strength.…
Raw Story · April 16, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗