Democratic
Michael DeCillis
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Nicole Malliotakis favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+24.1
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+20.02026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Nicole Malliotakis
Incumbent representative for NY-11. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-11. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New York's 11th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Video Shows New York Man Getting Struck by Lightning
A Staten Island staffer for US Rep. Nicole Malliotakis is alive to tell the tale after a lightning strike dropped him in the street just steps from his car—and it's all on video, NBC News reports. Thomas Fahmy was walking along Todt Hill Road last Thursday, a…
Newser · September 2, 2026
New York City’s lone Republican in Congress accuses Mamdani, Schumer of 'hypocrisy' in voter ID fight
Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, R-N.Y. argues Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and Senate Democrats block the SAVE Act while claiming to support voter ID in their districts.
Fox News · August 14, 2026
Trump’s Plan to Sell F-35s to Turkey Becomes an Even Greater Disaster
President Trump said in a meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Tuesday that he plans to lift sanctions to allow the country to buy F-35 fighter jets. “We’re going to be taking the sanctions off, OK? I don’t want him to waste his time answering …
The New Republic · July 7, 2026
Hasan Piker Called Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s $15 Million Wedding “A Dramatic Misuse Of Public Resources.” a Republican Congresswoman Wants Them to Write the NYPD a Check
Piker made the case on his Twitch stream, tying the wedding to his broader argument about billionaires and public money. Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, a New York Republican, followed with a public deman…
Thoughtcatalog.com · July 4, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗