Democratic
Jonny Larsen
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all House races
Utah District 4 election, 2026
Jonny Larsen vs. Mike Kennedy on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Mike Kennedy favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+42.1
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+42.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Mike Kennedy
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Steven Burt · Independent
- Taylor Wright · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for UT-4. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for UT-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗