Utah District 3 election, 2026

Kent Udell vs. Celeste Maloy on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast

Celeste Maloy favored

Safe R · predicted margin R+44.6

100%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+42.4

2026 national environment

D+6.3

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Kent Udell

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Celeste Maloy

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

Cassie Easley · Constitution
Adonis Hooslyn · Independent
Ayden Scott · Independent
Michael Stoddard · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for UT-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for UT-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in Utah's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

2020John Curtis(R)R+42.0

2018John Curtis(R)R+40.2

2017John Curtis(R)R+32.4

2014Jason Chaffetz(R)R+49.7

2012Jason Chaffetz(R)R+53.2

2010Jason Chaffetz(R)R+49.4

2008Jason Chaffetz(R)R+37.3

2006Chris Cannon(R)R+25.5

2004Chris Cannon(R)R+30.9

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: UT-2 · UT-4