Democratic
Everett Wess
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all Senate races
Everett Wess vs. Barry Moore: Alabama U.S. Senate election, 2026
Everett Wess vs. Barry Moore. Incumbent retiring to run for governor. Republican hold..
VotePredictor forecast (our model)
Barry Moore favored
Safe R
99%
chance to win
R+20.3
predicted margin
Poll-driven model · 4 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology → · Today's article: every poll and forecast →
Republican
Barry Moore
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Polls
The polls behind it
5 polls · 4 in today's forecast · newest firstDimmed polls are more than 61 days old. They stay on the record, but today's forecast no longer counts them. Each pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain). VotePredictor adjusted (“Our adj.” on small screens) is not a poll: it is our correction of that poll, for its pollster's record in past elections and for registered-voter or all-adult samples. It is the number our forecast reads.
PollsterDateSampleMarginOur adj.VotePredictor adjusted
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Barry MooreREP$4.6M raised
Spent $4.3MCash on hand $467kDebts $534k9% from donors under $200Self-funded $50k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$42k
- Homemaker$11k
- Defense & Aerospace$7k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$7k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$6k
States
- AL$77k
- VA$25k
- TX$20k
- FL$14k
- NJ$8k
Everett WessDEM$129k raised
Spent $118kCash on hand $11kDebts $71k11% from donors under $200Self-funded $71k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$13k
- Not Reported$6k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$4k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$4k
- Retired$3k
States
- AL$18k
- MA$11k
- CA$2k
- FL$750
- WA$417
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The Senate forecast does not read these figures. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
VotePredictor (ours)
R 99%
a probability from our model
Cook
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 2, 2026
DDHQ
Safe R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 3, 2026
Econ
Safe R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 3, 2026
FPO
Safe R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 2, 2026
Fox
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 1, 2026
IE
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Oct 29, 2026
MS NOW
Safe R≈ R 99%
as of Oct 29, 2026
NBC
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 3, 2026
RCP
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 2, 2026
Sabato
Safe R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 2, 2026
Silver
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 3, 2026
ST
Safe R≈ R 99%
as of Nov 2, 2026
The source we collect records each outlet's rating category, not a probability; some of these outlets run models with their own numbers on their sites. The ≈ figure is the standard conversion of the category (Toss-up 50%, Tilt 60%, Lean 75%, Likely 90%, Solid 99%), the one our scorecard grades them on, not a number they published. They remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Independent models
Win probabilities published by independent statistical models, shown with credit as their terms allow: Who Shows Up (whoshowsup.net), by Kurt Wirth. These are their numbers, not ratings converted by us, and not VotePredictor's. The better-known model forecasters (Decision Desk HQ, FiftyPlusOne, Silver Bulletin, the Economist) don't permit republishing their probabilities, so they appear above by rating only.
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Alabama we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Republican Barry Moore Defeats Democrat Everett Wess in Alabama Senate Race
Trump-endorsed Rep. Barry Moore (R-AL) won Alabama's U.S. Senate race Tuesday, defeating Democrat Everett Wess, a criminal defense attorney, to succeed outgoing Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-AL). The post Republican Barry Moore Defeats Democrat Everett Wess in Ala…
Breitbart News · November 4, 2026
Senate race winners 2026: Republicans, Democrats battle for control of upper chamber
The 2026 midterm elections will feature 35 Senate races that will determine which party controls the upper chamber for the next two years. Follow along with The Post’s live election tracker for real-time results, including winners and losers in Senate races a…
New York Post · November 3, 2026
Conservatives demand competition — except in their own primaries
Conservatives say they believe in competition. So why on earth do we tolerate a political system in which one man effectively picks our candidates before voters have a chance to examine them?Friedrich Hayek understood why monopoly is dangerous: “Our freedom o…
TheBlaze · October 21, 2026
Trump makes 'confounding decision' in deep-red state as Dems make other gains: report
President Donald Trump is tentatively planning a rally in deep-red Alabama next week, even as Democrats signal they may spend money in Kansas and other Republican strongholds they once considered out of reach.Politico reported that the rally is penciled in fo…
Raw Story · September 25, 2026
‘Biggest spend of the cycle:’ Fairshake crypto PAC’s pick Barry Moore wins Alabama GOP Senate primary
‘Biggest spend of the cycle:’ Fairshake crypto PAC’s pick Barry Moore wins Alabama GOP Senate primary Quick Take - On Tuesday night, President Donald Trump-endorsed Barry Moore won against his opponent, Jared Hudson, in the Republican primaries for an open Se…
Biztoc.com · June 17, 2026