Democratic
Jeff Merkley
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
← all Senate races
Oregon U.S. Senate election, 2026
Jeff Merkley vs. David Brock Smith. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
No verified head-to-head poll is available, so VotePredictor does not publish a numerical probability for this race. The outside ratings below provide context; we do not turn ratings into a fake precision.
Republican
David Brock Smith
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No verified 2026 general-election poll is currently available in the feed for this race.
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Safe D
as of Sep 21, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Oregon we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.