VotePredictor
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Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, 2026

Jack Reed vs. Raymond McKay. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast
Jack Reed favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+19.6
99%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 4 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Republican

Raymond McKay

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Michael Bahry · Independent

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
Race to the WH[34]2026-08-24D+17.8
University of New Hampshire[16]2026-08-24D+20.0
University of New Hampshire[18]2026-06-23D+17.0
University of New Hampshire[19]2026-04-20D+18.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid D
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Safe D
as of Sep 21, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

Candidate news

Veteran Dem senator cruises past far-left primary challengers in bid for sixth term

Sen. Jack Reed, D-R.I., defeated two far-left challengers in the Rhode Island U.S. Senate primary Wednesday, advancing to the November general election in his bid for a sixth term.

Fox News · September 10, 2026
‘Pentagon right now is, in some cases, rudderless’: Army Secretary Dan Driscoll steps down after just 18 months

Rhode Island Senator and former Army officer Jack Reed said Secretary Hegseth is "cultivating a culture where dissent is punished."

Fortune · September 1, 2026
Under pressure from Trump on war powers, Republicans fold and try to appease White House

On Tuesday, Congress did something it had never done before: It approved a war powers resolution that rebuked Donald Trump and called on the president to end the war in Iran. It was a largely symbolic move — the measure had no formal force of law — but as Dem…

Biztoc.com · June 25, 2026
Trump wants Sen. Jack Reed to be impeached, which is foolish for all sorts of reasons

As much of the world started to come to terms with the purported framework to end the U.S. war in Iran, Sen. Jack Reed, the top Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee, appeared on “Fox News Sunday” and made clear that he was unimpressed. Indeed, the …

Biztoc.com · June 16, 2026
Trump calls for Senator Reed’s impeachment over criticism of Iran dea

President Trump lashed out at Rhode Island U.S. Sen. Jack Reed on social media Sunday, hours after Reed criticized the president’s handling of Iran during a national TV interview. Reed, the top Democrat on the Armed Services Committee, reiterated his longstan…

Freerepublic.com · June 16, 2026