Democratic
Katie Hobbs
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Arizona governor election, 2026
Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Katie Hobbs favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+7.2
94%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 7 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Andy Biggs
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Teri Hourihan · No Labels
- Risa Lombardo · Green
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Equis Research | 2026-10-09 | D+6.0 |
| BSP Research | 2026-09-04 | D+13.0 |
| FiftyPlusOne | 2026-08-19 | D+8.7 |
| NextGen Polling | 2026-08-19 | D+1.0 |
| HighGround | 2026-08-18 | D+16.0 |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-08-17 | D+6.0 |
| Kreate Strategies | 2026-08-16 | D+5.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Lean D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Lean D
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Lean D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Tilt D
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Lean D
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Lean D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Likely D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Arizona election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Could this be the year Democrats close the 'governor gap' with Republicans?
When people talk about this year's midterms, they tend to focus on whether Democrats will end unified Republican control of Congress by winning the U.S. Senate or House of Representatives (or both). And that makes sense: Congress has the power to check Presid…
Yahoo Entertainment · Yesterday
US midterms: Trump warns voters Democrats will 'destroy' America, backs Andy Biggs in Arizona governor race
In a rally in Bullhead City, President Trump urged Arizona voters to support Republican candidates, attacking Democrats and endorsing gubernatorial candidate Andy Biggs. He emphasized the importance of voting in memory of conservative activist Charlie Kirk, a…
The Times of India · Yesterday
Trump's Latest 2020 Fantasy: He Won By Millions, And COVID Stole It
During today's rally in Bullhead City, Arizona, Trump lied to his cult members by claiming he won the 2020 election by millions of votes and Joe Biden rigged it against him using COVID. Didn't you know Biden created COVID while Trump was in office and killed …
Crooksandliars.com · Yesterday
Trump torches Democrats at Arizona rally, warns they will ‘destroy our country’ ahead of midterms
Trump rallied for Andy Biggs in Bullhead City, blasting Dem Gov. Katie Hobbs, and urged Arizona voters to turn the state red in honor of Charlie Kirk.
Fox News · Yesterday
Taiwan opens Phoenix office as $265 billion chip investment in Arizona grows, over China’s objections
Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs joined Taiwanese leaders at the opening of an economic and cultural office Monday to aid Taiwanese businesses and citizens in the region, despite pressure from the Chinese government to block it. Taiwanese authorities have said the ne…
Biztoc.com · October 6, 2026
Trump heads to Arizona to rally for election denier Andy Biggs
President Donald Trump is heading to Arizona on Wednesday to campaign for Republican gubernatorial nominee Andy Biggs, a longtime ally who helped challenge the results of the 2020 presidential election. The visit raises questions about whether the president w…
Biztoc.com · October 14, 2026