Democratic
Katie Hobbs
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Arizona governor election, 2026
Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Katie Hobbs favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+6.5
72%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 5 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Andy Biggs
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Teri Hourihan · No Labels
- Risa Lombardo · Green
- Leezah Sun · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research | 2026-07-28 | D+8.0 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-05-07 | D+4.0 |
| TIPP Insights | 2026-04-24 | D+10.0 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-02-26 | D+5.0 |
| Center for Excellence in Polling | 2026-01-24 | D+9.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Lean D
IE
Tossup
Sabato
Lean D
WH
Lean D
RCP
Tossup
Fox
Lean D
VoteHub
Likely D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
EXCLUSIVE: From Burger King to the Governor’s Office – The Curious Rise of Katie Hobbs
From Burger King to the Governor’s Office – The Curious Rise of Katie Hobbs How a Social Worker Became Minority Leader, Secretary of State, and Governor — and What Followed Her Up the Ladder Guest post by Linda Brickman SECTION 1 — THE COLD OPEN Katie Hobbs s…
Joehoft.com · August 6, 2026
Arizona's Dem Governor Set to Pick GOP Running Mate
Arizona's Democratic governor is poised to share the ballot with a Republican. Gov. Katie Hobbs is expected to name John Giles, the former Republican mayor of Mesa, as her running mate for lieutenant governor, according to two sources said to be familiar with…
Newser · August 5, 2026
Arizona’s Democratic Governor Set to Pick a Republican Running Mate
Gov. Katie Hobbs of Arizona, a vulnerable Democrat running for re-election, plans to tap a longtime Republican and former mayor of a Phoenix suburb to serve as her running mate, according to two people familiar with the decision. John Giles, a former mayor of…
Freerepublic.com · August 5, 2026
Arizona’s Governor to Pick a Republican Running Mate
“Gov. Katie Hobbs of Arizona, a vulnerable Democrat running for re-election, plans to tap a longtime Republican and former mayor of a Phoenix suburb to serve as her running mate,” the New York Times reports. “John Giles, a former mayor of Mesa, Ariz. is expec…
Politicalwire.com · August 5, 2026
Secretary Rollins Visits Douglas Port of Entry, Announces $25 Million Commitment for New Arizona Sterile Fly Dispersal Facility
Secretary Highlights USDA’s Readiness Ahead of Douglas Port Reopening and Continued Aggressive Response to New World Screwworm (Washington, D.C., July 29, 2026) – Today, U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke L. Rollins visited the livestock inspection faciliti…
Equinechronicle.com · July 30, 2026
Democrat Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs Ratioed on X After Taking Credit for Trump’s No Tax on Tips Rule (VIDEO)
Arizona Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs got lit up on social media after she ridiculously claimed credit for President Trump's no-tax-on-tips platform last week. Notably, the message came just days after Trump-Endorsed Republican gubernatorial candidate Andy…
Thegatewaypundit.com · July 28, 2026
'Don't know when they are going to learn': Republican laments MAGA election wins on MS NOW
A former Republican lawmaker lamented recent election victories by MAGA candidates in Arizona during a new interview on MS NOW, warning that it could lead to a world of hurt for the party in the midterms. Charlie Dent, a former Republican lawmaker from Pennsy…
Raw Story · July 26, 2026
Extremists sweep through 'bewildering' primary as GOP braces to 'get bitten again'
A new analysis suggests that the GOP should prepare "to get bitten again" after extremist candidates swept through the Arizona primaries.In Arizona, candidates like former Rep. Andy Biggs (R-AZ), who helped President Donald Trump attempt to overturn the 2020 …
Raw Story · July 22, 2026