Democratic
Ned Lamont
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Connecticut governor election, 2026
Ned Lamont vs. Ryan Fazio. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Ned Lamont favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+15.9
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 5 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Ryan Fazio
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-09-21 | D+17.0 |
| co/efficient | 2026-09-17 | D+7.0 |
| Quinnipiac University Polling Institute | 2026-09-14 | D+17.0 |
| GreatBlue Research | 2026-09-08 | D+14.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-08-24 | D+15.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Likely D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Connecticut election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Federal Court Gives Connecticut Glock Ban The Heave-Ho
A federal judge issued an injunction blocking Connecticut from enforcing a ban on Glock pistols Wednesday. Glock and the National Shooting Sports Foundation (NSSF) sued to block Connecticut’s ban on the manufacturer’s popular pistols, which Democratic Connect…
Freerepublic.com · October 1, 2026
Ned Lamont Leads in Connecticut Governor’s Race
A new co/efficient poll in Connecticut finds Ned Lamont (D) leading Ryan Fazio (R) in the governor’s race, 48% to 41%. Connecticut Governor’s Race Ned Lamont (D) 48% Ryan Fazio (R) 41% co/efficient poll
Politicalwire.com · September 23, 2026
Fact check: Did Gov. Ned Lamont raise Connecticut electric bills like Ryan Fazio says?
Republican challenger Ryan Fazio told Connecticut voters in a recent campaign mailer that two-term Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont has raised their electric bills. The high cost of electricity and cost of living in the state is a central issue in the 2026 campaign…
Biztoc.com · September 13, 2026
Connecticut just approved $1.9 billion in bonding. Here's what that covers
HARTFORD - In 25 minutes, the State Bond Commission on Tuesday approved $1.9 billion for various items, including $600 million for statewide school construction and $446 million for a wide variety of transportation projects. The 10-member panel, dominated by …
Biztoc.com · September 8, 2026
Connecticut Gov. Lamont on Kalshi lawsuit: Want them to play by the rules that protect young people
Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the state's recent lawsuit against Kalshi, the recent Meta ...
Biztoc.com · August 28, 2026
Connecticut Catholic bishops condemn discrimination against Catholics at public school
GUNDAM_Ai/Shutterstock Washington, D.C. Newsroom, Aug 31, 2022 / 17:15 pm (CNA). Connecticut’s Catholic dioceses have condemned comments made in a video by a public elementary school assistant principal who admitted on hidden camera that he discrimina…
Catholicnewsagency.com · August 31, 2022
‘A Message Loud And Clear’: GOP Flips CT State Senate District Biden Won By 25 Points
Republican Ryan Fazio beat Democrat Alexis Gevanter by nearly 3 points to secure a seat in the Connecticut Senate, flipping state Senate district 36 from blue to red. “Today the voters of Greenwich, Stamford, and New Canaan sent a message loud and clear to th…
Freerepublic.com · August 20, 2021
Connecticut Pro-Family Group Celebrates ‘Culturally Conservative’ Ryan Fazio Senate Flip Victory
Family Institute of Connecticut is joining in celebrating Republican Ryan Fazio’s victory in flipping his district’s state Senate seat.
Breitbart News · August 19, 2021