Democratic
Rob Sand
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Rob Sand favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+3.4
62%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 6 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Zach Lahn
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Sondra Wilson · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 2026-08-04 | D+5.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 2026-06-27 | D+9.0 |
| Cygnal | 2026-06-19 | D+4.3 |
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-06-17 | D+1.0 |
| Echelon Insights | 2026-04-09 | D+12.0 |
| GBAO Strategies | 2026-03-16 | D+8.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
IE
Tilt D (flip)
Sabato
Tossup
WH
Lean D (flip)
RCP
Tossup
Fox
Lean D (flip)
VoteHub
Tilt D (flip)
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
In deep-red Iowa, rural voters consider voting for Democrat Rob Sand
Yahoo Entertainment · July 27, 2026
Iowa gubernatorial hopeful Zach Lahn tells 'Ruthless' Democrats are hiding their bad policies
Republican Iowa gubernatorial candidate Zach Lahn exposed Democratic candidate Rob Sand over his endorsements from liberal figures, such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
Fox News · July 24, 2026
Democrats’ Plan for Ending the Iran War
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · July 22, 2026
Republicans get bad news in Iowa as they fail to boot spoiler candidate
Republicans in Iowa got a blow this week as a third-party candidate they were hoping to get off the ballot in the Senate contest remains standing — and poses a threat to their nominee, Rep. Ashley Hinson.Laura Belin of the progressive site Bleeding Heartland …
Raw Story · June 16, 2026
MAGA candidate rages over claims he carpetbagged from two states over: 'Complete lie!'
A far-right gubernatorial candidate in Iowa is already facing questions about his residency just after winning the Republican nomination — and is going on the offensive against the accusations.Zach Lahn, a businessman and farmer running on a platform aligned …
Raw Story · June 9, 2026
Trump-backed candidate billing himself as a Kansas farmer lives in $2M estate: report
Republican Iowa governor nominee Zach Lahn, who has President Donald Trump's endorsement and backing from Turning Point Action, has been living in a multimillion-dollar mansion in Kansas. Despite advertising himself to voters as a farmer, a Daily Beast invest…
Raw Story · Yesterday
GOP Candidate for Iowa Governor Touts Americans, Slams Work Visas
Zach Lahn, the GOP's candidate for the Iowa governorship, is promising to block state hiring of H-1B visa workers for white-collar jobs and is condemning a House bill to expand the inflow of H-2A laborers into the state's agricultural sector. The post GOP Can…
Breitbart News · July 23, 2026
Trump Endorses Anti-Pesticide MAHA Farmer in the Hawkeye State
The Make America Healthy Again agenda has made its way to the Hawkeye State, with President Donald Trump’s hearty approval. Zach Lahn, a first-time politician, narrowly won the Republican primary for Iowa governor last month, and now the MAHA farmer is gettin…
Daily Signal · July 14, 2026