Democratic
Wes Moore
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Wes Moore favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+29.0
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Dan Cox
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Andy Ellis · Green
- Cathy White · Working Class
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| University of Maryland, Baltimore County | 2026-09-27 | D+27.0 |
| Zenith Research | 2026-08-03 | D+27.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Maryland election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Wes Moore – potential 2028 White House hopeful – won’t commit to serving full term if re-elected Maryland governor
“This governor will not commit to serving you, yet he’s asking for your vote," Gov. Moore's Republican opponent, Dan Cox, said.
New York Post · October 7, 2026
Trump admin blocks Democratic Gov. Wes Moore from speaking at Maryland shipbuilding event - CNN
Trump admin blocks Democratic Gov. Wes Moore from speaking at Maryland shipbuilding eventCNN Ravens’ Marlon Humphrey, Tyler Loop to join Trump at Sparrows PointBaltimore Sun Moore, Trump clash over credit for major Baltimore County jobs project during preside…
Slashdot.org · October 7, 2026
WATCH: Gov. Wes Moore, GOP challenger Dan Cox face off in Maryland governor's debate
Gov. Wes Moore, a possible 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, is set to face a familiar GOP opponent, former state Del. Dan Cox, in a debate Tuesday, as he bids for a second term as Maryland's chief executive.
Biztoc.com · October 6, 2026
Trump Bans Dem Governor From Speaking at Rally in His Home State
President Trump is preventing Maryland’s Democratic Governor Wes Moore from speaking at an event in Baltimore County in the state on Tuesday. Defense firm Andruil Industries is announcing that they are building a 2-million-square-foot submarine manufacturing …
The New Republic · October 6, 2026
A private company invited Gov. Wes Moore to a Baltimore event. Trump had him removed as a speaker
President Donald Trump blocked Maryland Gov. Wes Moore from speaking at a White House event marking the unveiling of a new manufacturing investment in the Baltimore area, reigniting an ongoing partisan tiff between the leaders. Anduril Industries, a defense t…
Biztoc.com · October 6, 2026
GOP Candidate Slams Son's Antisemitic Remarks
Maryland's Republican nominee for governor is distancing himself from inflammatory comments attributed to his adult son about Jewish people. In a debate spin room on Tuesday, Dan Cox said he "absolutely" does not agree with remarks apparently sent by Josiah C…
Newser · October 8, 2026
Democrats Keep Helping Out This Far-Right Maryland Republican
Four years ago, Dan Cox won the Republican primary for governor of Maryland thanks to more than $1 million in television advertising on his behalf funded by the Democratic Governors Association. Now Mr. Cox — a devotee of President Trump who wrote on social m…
Freerepublic.com · June 18, 2026