VotePredictor
← all governor races

Minnesota governor election, 2026

Amy Klobuchar vs. Lisa Demuth. Incumbent retiring.

VotePredictor forecast
Amy Klobuchar favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+9.8
90%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 6 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Republican

Lisa Demuth

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Amy Klobuchar · DFL

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
SurveyUSA2026-09-14D+7.0
SurveyUSA2026-08-17D+16.0
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.2026-06-10D+8.0
Minnesota Star Tribune2026-06-10D+8.0
Emerson College2026-02-08D+13.4
SurveyUSA2026-01-30D+15.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
IE
Likely D
as of Sep. 17., 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Sep. 3, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Fox
Likely D
as of Sep. 22, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
DDHQ
Likely D
as of Sep. 17, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every Minnesota election for governor we hold a result for.

YearWinnerMargin
2022Tim Walz(D)D+7.7
2018Tim Walz(D)D+11.4

Candidate news

Klobuchar's NFL post backfires when internet notices glaring problem with her outfit choice: 'Fraud runs deep'

Amy Klobuchar posted the same Minnesota Vikings photo for the fourth year in a row, and conservatives are calling the gubernatorial hopeful a fraud.

Fox News · September 15, 2026
Mike Lindell challenges Minnesota GOP primary loss as state Supreme Court rejects recount bid

Mike Lindell, a prominent Trump supporter, is challenging his Republican primary defeat in Minnesota. The Minnesota Supreme Court rejected his request for a broader recount of the gubernatorial primary ballots. Lindell had argued for a more extensive review o…

The Times of India · August 30, 2026
Sen. Klobuchar: 'Donald Trump Is Threatening These Elections'

On Wednesday’s broadcast of MS NOW’s “The Briefing,” the Democratic nominee for governor of Minnesota, Sen. Amy Klobuchar said President Donald Trump is “threatening” the midterm elections. Klobuchar said, “You know, they have a right to mail in their ballot.…

Breitbart News · August 27, 2026
Dems Are Looking Good in North Carolina—or Are They?

You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonDems are looking good in North Carolina—or are they?If Democrats want to take back…

The New Republic · August 19, 2026
Senators slap back as Trump launches 'alarming' attack on privacy

What Happened: Citing reporting by ProPublica, eight Democratic U.S. senators have criticized the Trump administration’s demands to access the health data of millions of people as a condition of giving lifesaving aid to other countries. In a letter to Secreta…

Raw Story · August 19, 2026
The bad guys have faces

Fortunately, I’ve completely tuned out of television in this election season, or I’d be even more anxious right now. Minnesota is being flooded with conservative billionaire money. You know who benefits: Republicans. The Republican nominee for governor, Lisa …

Freethoughtblogs.com · September 2, 2026
Mike Lindell refuses to pay for recount in Minnesota GOP primary, files lawsuit against election officials

MyPillow founder Mike Lindell, a longtime 2020 election denier, sued the Minnesota secretary of state and election officials, claiming they changed the scope of a potential recount in the GOP gubernatorial primary this month. Lindell, who lost Aug. 11 to stat…

Freerepublic.com · August 26, 2026
Lindell Says He’ll Pay For Recount After Losing Minnesota Race—As Trump Stays Silent

Lindell lost to Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth in the Minnesota GOP gubernatorial primary.

Forbes · August 20, 2026