VotePredictor
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Iowa District 1 election, 2026

Christina Bohannan vs. Mariannette Miller-Meeks.

VotePredictor forecast
Christina Bohannan favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+1.9
61%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+6.8
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Christina Bohannan

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Michael Bridgford · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IA-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IA-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

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President Donald Trump has never hidden his disdain for clean energy, raging against wind turbines and solar power at campaign rallies and moving to gut renewable energy projects as president – now a fast-growing political force is determined to make Republic…

Raw Story · Yesterday
GOP Showered Big Corporations With Tax Breaks. They Returned the Favor With Campaign Cash

Major American corporations that benefited from tax cuts enacted last year by President Donald Trump and congressional Republicans are donating to the campaigns of GOP lawmakers who made the windfall possible.A report published Friday by Unrig Our Economy spo…

Common Dreams · July 3, 2026
Dem Law Professor Running for Congress Opposed Iowa ‘Back the Blue’ Law After 2020 Riots Injured Officers

Pro-DEI University of Iowa law professor Christina Bohannan (D-IA), who opposed Iowa’s ‘Back the Blue Act’ while defending Black Lives Matter protesters and sanctuary city policies, is months away from Iowa’s Democratic primary and could face Rep. Mariannette…

Breitbart News · April 18, 2026
Trump just put vulnerable Republicans in a bind with 'risky' move: report

President Donald Trump's threats against House Republicans over his unpopular tariffs could have put GOP lawmakers facing tough midterm battles in a tight spot, according to a Bloomberg report on Thursday. Voters have expressed mounting concerns over the high…

Raw Story · February 12, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: HI-2 · IA-2