Democratic
Kathy Hochul
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
New York governor election, 2026
Kathy Hochul vs. Bruce Blakeman. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Kathy Hochul favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+13.0
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 6 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Bruce Blakeman
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| co/efficient | 2026-09-25 | D+7.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2026-09-20 | D+19.0 |
| FiftyPlusOne | 2026-09-20 | D+11.4 |
| Siena College | 2026-09-17 | D+9.0 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2026-08-31 | D+4.0 |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners | 2026-08-21 | D+16.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct. 1, 2026
IE
Likely D
as of Oct. 1, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Oct. 5, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct. 7, 2026
DDHQ
Likely D
as of Oct. 2, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every New York election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Debra Messing sparks outrage after endorsing Trump-backed Republican for New York Governor... after decades as a devout Democrat
The 58-year-old Will & Grace star met up with a member of the GOP, Bruce Blakeman, to reveal public support for him just weeks before his showdown with democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul.
Dailymail.com · Yesterday
Cornell students stage 7-hour sit-in as pressure mounts over rape allegations
Students at Cornell University began what was billed as a seven-hour sit-in on Wednesday in solidarity with "Jane Doe," the former student who alleges she was drugged and raped by multiple members of a fraternity on its Ithaca, N.Y., campus in October 2024.…
Yahoo Entertainment · Yesterday
New York Declares Statewide Emergency Around Measles
New York's governor just escalated the measles fight to disaster status. On Monday, Gov. Kathy Hochul declared a statewide emergency, marking the first measles disaster declaration by a US state since the 2025 spike, reports Reuters . New York has logged 108 …
Newser · Yesterday
Bruce Blakeman vows to end NY sanctuary policies as Mike Lawler drops F-bombs in attack on Gov. Kathy Hochul
GOP gubernatorial hopeful Bruce Blakeman vowed Tuesday to end New York’s sanctuary state policies on his first day in office — as Rep. Mike Lawler unleashed a profanity-laced attack on Gov. Kathy Hochul. The Republicans gathered in Chappaqua alongside the fam…
Freerepublic.com · Yesterday
Hochul Says AI Data Centers Can Bring 'Tremendous Benefits'
New York Governor Kathy Hochul said artificial intelligence-driven data centers can bring "tremendous benefits" to some communities, signaling a potential path forward for the industry in the state despite a yearlong moratorium on new hyperscale facilities. N…
Biztoc.com · October 6, 2026
Bruce Blakeman vows to end NY sanctuary policies as Mike Lawler drops f-bombs in attack on Gov. Kathy Hochul
“The insanity is over, we’re putting New Yorkers first,” Blakeman declared. “On January 1st, as governor, I will sign an executive order, New York State is no longer a sanctuary state.”…
New York Post · October 6, 2026
Legal 'loophole' helps NY Gov. Kathy Hochul, Bruce Blakeman raise millions
Gov. Hochul and Bruce Blakeman both are taking advantage of a law that allows large donations to party committees. In theory, New York's gubernatorial candidates can accept donations of up to $9,000. In practice, it’s way higher. [ more › ]
Gothamist · October 6, 2026
Actress Debra Messing Endorses Republican Bruce Blakeman for New York Governor: 'You Are What We Need'
Notorious Democrat-backer Debra Messing has endorsed the GOP's Bruce Blakeman, who is running against Democrat incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul for Governor of New York. "You are what we need more than anything," the "Will & Grace" star told the Republican candida…
Breitbart News · October 6, 2026