Democratic
Tina Kotek
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Oregon governor election, 2026
Tina Kotek vs. Christine Drazan. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Tina Kotek favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+1.1
53%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Christine Drazan
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffman Research Group | 2026-05-12 | EVEN |
| FM3 Research | 2026-02-04 | D+5.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Likely D
IE
Lean D
Sabato
Likely D
WH
Tilt D
RCP
Solid D
Fox
Likely D
VoteHub
Likely D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Did Oregon governor sign bill removing math, literacy requirements for graduation to help students of color?
Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek signed a bill to remove math, reading and writing requirements for graduation to help students of color.
Snopes.com · July 10, 2026
Deep-blue Oregon is on track to elect REPUBLICAN governor, claims shock new poll that puts GOP candidate well ahead of Democrat incumbent
Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek is locked in a head to head with Republican State Senator Christine Drazan.
Dailymail.com · July 10, 2026
DOJ Says ‘Discriminatory and Obstructionist Policies’ in These Blue States Endanger ICE Agents
Four blue states are putting federal agents in danger in an effort to hinder immigration enforcement, a Justice Department action contends. On Monday, days after a Justice Department lawsuit, Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek, a Democrat, ordered state agencies to conti…
Daily Signal · June 1, 2026
Drazan wins Oregon Republican primary for governor, will face Kotek in rematch - OregonLive.com
Drazan wins Oregon Republican primary for governor, will face Kotek in rematchOregonLive.com Drazan declares victory in Oregon Republican governor primaryStatesman Journal Christine Drazan headed for a rematch against Tina Kotek in November election for Orego…
Slashdot.org · May 20, 2026
Christine Drazan wins Oregon GOP primary for governor, setting up rematch with Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek
NBC News projects Drazan, a state senator, emerged from a 14-candidate field to advance to the general election in the blue state.
NBC News · May 20, 2026
Good Morning, News: Trump Administration Appeals Portland Tear Gas Ban, Oregon's Republican Legislators Aren't Showing up for Work, and National Counterterrorism Center Director Resigns Over Iran War
by Taylor Griggs The Mercury provides news and fun every single day—but your help is essential. If you believe Portland benefits from smart, local journalism and arts coverage, please consider making a small monthly contribution, because without you, t…
The Portland Mercury · March 17, 2026
Good Morning, News: Info on ICE in Oregon, Bovino Backlash (and Other Chaos), and TikTok is Even Worse Now
by Taylor Griggs The Mercury provides news and fun every single day—but your help is essential. If you believe Portland benefits from smart, local journalism and arts coverage, please consider making a small monthly contribution, because without you, t…
The Portland Mercury · January 27, 2026