Democratic
Helena Foulkes
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates: Jonathan Coker, Steven Gregersen, Dan McKee, Gregory Stevens.
← all governor races
Rhode Island governor election, 2026
Helena Foulkes vs. Aaron Guckian. Incumbent running.
VotePredictor forecast
Helena Foulkes favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+17.4
86%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 1 matched poll. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Aaron Guckian
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates: Emmanuel Adjei, Amy Ferreira, Frank Gallucci, Elaine Pelino.
Other listed candidates
- Ken Block · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Opinion Diagnostics | 2026-04-16 | D+17.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
IE
Solid D
Sabato
Safe D
WH
Likely D
RCP
Solid D
Fox
Solid D
VoteHub
Solid D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Is Helena Foulkes running for governor of Rhode Island again?
The former CVS executive who finished second against Governor Dan McKee in the Democratic primary in 2022 says she hasn’t made up her mind about running for Rhode Island governor in 2026, but she sure seems to be comfortable with asking her supporters for cam…
The Boston Globe · April 30, 2024
Defeated Rhode Island GOP candidate for governor endorses Democratic incumbent (golly gee, what a shock!)
McKee ascended to the governorship last year after his predecessor, Gov. Gina Raimondo, vacated the post to head the Commerce Department for the Biden administration. He had served as lieutenant governor at the time. He narrowly evaded a primary defeat agains…
Freerepublic.com · September 24, 2022
Bonus Quote of the Day
“Oh, that’s not gonna happen. That’s not gonna happen. Hang up on them.” — Rhode Island Gov. Dan McKee (D) declining a concession call from Helena Foulkes (D).
Politicalwire.com · September 14, 2022
The Election Recap: Sept. 12, 2022
Welcome back to The Election Recap, your weekly, one-stop shop for the last seven days of midterms news. Before diving in today, I'd like to first invite you to share your feedback on this newsletter via a brief, anonymous survey. I know you have a lot of cho…
The Week Magazine · September 12, 2022
RI governor candidate Helena Foulkes uses CVS, business experience - The Providence Journal
Helena Foulkes is touting her corporate chops in a come-from-behind race for Rhode Island governor.
The Providence Journal · August 25, 2022
Matos wins race for Rhode Island lieutenant governor
Democratic Lieutenant Governor Sabina Matos secured a full four-year term Tuesday, as Republican challenger Aaron Guckian conceded shortly before 10 p.m,
The Boston Globe · November 9, 2022