Vermont governor election, 2026

Amanda Janoo vs. Phil Scott. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast

No verified head-to-head poll is available, so VotePredictor does not publish a numerical probability for this race. The outside ratings below provide context; we do not turn ratings into a fake precision.

Democratic

Amanda Janoo

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Phil Scott

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

Dean Roy · Freedom and Unity

Polls

No verified 2026 general-election poll is currently available in the feed for this race.

Other forecasts

Cook

Solid R

as of Sep. 17, 2026

Solid R

as of Sep. 17., 2026

Sabato

Safe R

as of Sep. 3, 2026

RCP

Solid R

as of Sep. 17, 2026

Fox

Solid R

as of Sep. 22, 2026

Silver

Likely R

as of Sep. 17, 2026

DDHQ

Safe R

as of Sep. 17, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every Vermont election for governor we hold a result for.

YearWinnerMargin

2024Republican candidate(R)R+51.6

2022Phil Scott(R)R+47.0

2020Phil Scott(R)R+41.1

2018Phil Scott(R)R+14.9

2016Phil Scott(R)R+8.7

2014Peter Elliott Shumlin(D)D+1.3

2010Peter Elliott Shumlin(D)D+1.8

2008Jim Douglas(R)R+31.6

2006Jim Douglas(R)R+15.2

2002Jim Douglas(R)R+2.5

2000Howard Dean(D)D+12.5

1998Howard Dean(D)D+14.5

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.