Democratic
David Crowley
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Wisconsin governor election, 2026
David Crowley vs. Tom Tiffany. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
David Crowley favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+2.5
70%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 4 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Tom Tiffany
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Z to A Research | 2026-10-01 | D+5.0 |
| Marquette University Law School | 2026-09-23 | D+3.0 |
| Marquette University Law School | 2026-08-20 | EVEN |
| TIPP Insights | 2026-08-18 | D+2.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Lean D
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Lean D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Lean D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Wisconsin election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Could this be the year Democrats close the 'governor gap' with Republicans?
When people talk about this year's midterms, they tend to focus on whether Democrats will end unified Republican control of Congress by winning the U.S. Senate or House of Representatives (or both). And that makes sense: Congress has the power to check Presid…
Yahoo Entertainment · Yesterday
Transcript: The Blue Wave Is Coming to the States As Well
This is a lightly edited transcript of the October 14 edition of Right Now With Perry Bacon. You can watch the video here or by following this show on YouTube or Substack. Perry Bacon: Hi, I’m Perry Bacon. I’m joined by Chaz Nuttycombe. He’s the executive dir…
The New Republic · Yesterday
Why Francesca Hong is still on the campaign trail
The Wisconsin gubernatorial race was one of the most closely watched Democratic primaries in the country this year, pitting a democratic socialist, state Rep. Francesca Hong, against Milwaukee Democrat David Crowley, who received the endorsement of the state’…
Vox · October 9, 2026
David Crowley announces run for Wisconsin governor, endorsed by Obama
Crowley's candidacy, bolstered by key endorsements, could reshape Wisconsin's political landscape and influence future Democratic strategies. The post David Crowley announces run for Wisconsin governor, endorsed by Obama appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Crypto Briefing · October 9, 2026
Are the Blue Wave Polls Too Good to Be True?
I’m nervous about the polls and election forecasts projecting a huge Democratic wave. And I think you should be too. Why? For two reasons. First of all, the numbers, as eye-watering as they are, may be setting us up for disappointment, even if Democrats have …
The New Republic · October 7, 2026
Crowley says Black infant health is a priority; Tiffany silent
We asked David Crowley and Tom Tiffany how they would address Wisconsin’s Black infant mortality crisis if elected governor. Tiffany didn’t respond.
Captimes.com · October 6, 2026
The Three Billionaires Trying to Buy Wisconsin’s Governor’s Race
Republican Representative Tom Tiffany has raised more than $26 million in his bid to become Wisconsin’s next governor, the vast majority of which appears to have come from three billionaires.Between August 13 and September 19, the Republican Party of Wisconsi…
The New Republic · October 1, 2026
Tiffany in Striking Distance of Flipping Wisconsin After Break With Trump
A Marquette Law poll released on Wednesday shows that the race between Republican Representative Tom Tiffany and Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley for Wisconsin governor is a statistical tie, as Tiffany has broken with President Donald Trump…
Biztoc.com · September 30, 2026