Democratic
Francesca Hong
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates: Joel Brennan, David Crowley, Kelda Roys.
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Wisconsin governor election, 2026
Francesca Hong vs. Tom Tiffany. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
Tom Tiffany favored
Toss-up · predicted margin R+3.5
62%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 5 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Tom Tiffany
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates: Andy Manske.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| RMG Research | 2026-07-24 | D+1.0 |
| Marquette University Law School | 2026-07-16 | EVEN |
| The Public Sentiment Institute | 2026-05-15 | R+1.0 |
| TIPP Insights | 2026-03-19 | R+3.0 |
| Patriot Polling | 2026-03-16 | R+4.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
IE
Tossup
Sabato
Tossup
WH
Tilt R (flip)
RCP
Tossup
Fox
Tossup
VoteHub
Lean D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
How Wisconsin's woke governor candidate's crusade to cancel ALL traditional holidays could backfire
Democratic Socialist Wisconsin gubernatorial hopeful Francesca Hong is facing a fresh political storm after a series of old social media posts criticizing traditional holidays resurfaced
Dailymail.com · Today
Democratic socialist Francesca Hong has former child star, OnlyFans model in senior campaign role: report
An OnlyFans model and sex worker advocate is reportedly serving as deputy campaign manager for Francesca Hong's Wisconsin governor campaign.
Fox News · Today
The Wisconsin Governor’s Race Has Democrats Holding Their Breath
Francesca Hong has electrified her party’s left. She’s about to run headlong into Wisconsin’s right.
Slate Magazine · Today
Data centers are a political issue crossing party lines, driving voters to candidates
Wisconsin Democratic candidate for governor Francesca Hong called for a moratorium on data centers. So did Ohio Republican governor hopeful Vivek Ramaswamy, as data centers begin to dominate campaigns.
NPR · Today
Democrats just Found Their Most INSANE Candidate Yet... SERIOUSLY!
The frontrunner to win the Democrat Primary for Governor in Wisconsin is currently a woman by the name of Francesca Hong and she is completely out of her mind. She is running for governor with a platform of abolishing police and ICE, trashing American holiday…
Freerepublic.com · Yesterday
How Popular Is Hakeem Jeffries Among Democrats?
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · August 5, 2026
Democratic socialists turn to Hong in Wisconsin with hopes for next big win
State Rep. Francesca Hong’s (D) steady rise in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race is teeing up the biggest test yet for democratic socialists and the far left this election cycle. Hong has held a strong lead in the Democratic field ahead of Tuesday’s primary, w…
Freerepublic.com · August 5, 2026
Tiffany Compares Himself To Ron Johnson In A Laughable Way
Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany was getting some free airtime from Sean Hannity and Fox when Hannity asked Tiffany how he compared to Sen Ron Johnson. Tiffany's response was laughable: Similar to Senator Johnson, I mean, Senator Johnson, first o…
Crooksandliars.com · August 4, 2026