Democratic
David Crowley
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Wisconsin governor election, 2026
David Crowley vs. Tom Tiffany. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
Tom Tiffany favored
Toss-up · predicted margin R+1.0
54%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 9 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Tom Tiffany
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Marquette University Law School | 2026-08-20 | EVEN |
| TIPP Insights | 2026-08-18 | D+2.0 |
| Platform Communications | 2026-08-13 | D+4.0 |
| GBAO Strategies | 2026-08-03 | D+3.0 |
| RMG Research | 2026-07-24 | D+1.0 |
| Marquette University Law School | 2026-07-16 | EVEN |
| The Public Sentiment Institute | 2026-05-15 | R+1.0 |
| TIPP Insights | 2026-03-19 | R+3.0 |
| Patriot Polling | 2026-03-16 | R+4.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
as of Sep. 17, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Sep. 17., 2026
Sabato
Lean D
as of Sep. 3, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Sep. 22, 2026
Silver
Lean D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
DDHQ
Lean D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Wisconsin election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Dems could get shot at seat once thought 'impossible to lose' after GOP lawmaker's gamble
Two Waukesha County Republicans are asking voters to reelect them to the state Legislature in November while simultaneously campaigning to become the county’s next executive in a December special election.Paul Farrow, who had served as the Waukesha County exe…
Raw Story · Today
How Keisha Lance Bottoms and David Crowley Can Make Political History
Many Americans who live in suburbs and rural areas don’t like the big, left-leaning metropolitan areas nearby. And while it’s hard to say exactly how much that anti-urban resentment is tied to race, we know that big cities often have high percentages of peopl…
The New Republic · September 14, 2026
David Crowley could become Wisconsin’s first Black governor in 2026 race
Crowley's candidacy could reshape Wisconsin's political landscape, highlighting racial progress and influencing future electoral dynamics. The post David Crowley could become Wisconsin’s first Black governor in 2026 race appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Crypto Briefing · September 13, 2026
Rep. Tom Tiffany says he sustained minor injuries in emergency plane landing on lake
Rep. Tom Tiffany, the Republican nominee for Wisconsin governor, says he sustained minor injuries late Saturday when a plane he was traveling in was forced to make an emergency water landing. Tiffany said in a statement on X that he and the pilot swam to safe…
Freerepublic.com · September 13, 2026
David Crowley, Tom Tiffany say they oppose new power line project
In the latest sign that a controversial high-voltage transmission line planned for Wisconsin has become a political touchstone, both candidates to serve as Wisconsin governor say they oppose it. Democratic gubernatorial candidate David Crowley announced his o…
Biztoc.com · September 10, 2026
Wisconsin GOP Candidate Is Exploiting the Data Center Backlash to Hit Solar, Wind
Gubernatorial nominee Tom Tiffany flipped on data centers, outflanked his Democratic rival, and tied the issue to renewable projects he has opposed for years. The post Wisconsin GOP Candidate Is Exploiting the Data Center Backlash to Hit Solar, Wind appeared …
The American Prospect · Yesterday
Tom Tiffany Says God’s Grace Spared Him and Pilot From Plane Crash Catastrophe
By PEDRO RODRIGUEZ, The Daily Signal | September 14, 2026 Rep. Tom Tiffany, R-Wis., thanked God for his safety after a private plane he was traveling in lost power and was forced to make an emergency landing in a Wisconsin lake over the weekend. “After landin…
Biztoc.com · September 15, 2026
Tiffany Involved In Emergency Plane Water Landing
On Saturday evening, US Representative and gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany flew home after attending campaign events earlier that day. The plane he was riding in, a Beechcraft Bonanza, suddenly lost power, and the pilot, Republican Party of Langlade Count…
Crooksandliars.com · September 15, 2026