Democratic
Josh Turek
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Ashley Hinson favored
Toss-up · predicted margin R+1.2
62%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 21 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Ashley Hinson
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Thomas Laehn · Libertarian
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| FiftyPlusOne | 2026-10-01 | D+1.0 |
| New York Times/Siena University | 2026-10-01 | R+1.0 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2026-09-30 | D+4.0 |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-09-29 | R+1.0 |
| FiftyPlusOne | 2026-09-29 | D+0.6 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 2026-09-28 | D+2.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-09-23 | D+1.0 |
| FiftyPlusOne | 2026-09-23 | D+0.9 |
| FiftyPlusOne | 2026-09-20 | D+0.5 |
| Marist University | 2026-09-20 | D+8.0 |
| Marist College | 2026-09-20 | D+8.0 |
| Trafalgar Group | 2026-09-18 | R+2.0 |
| co/efficient | 2026-09-16 | R+4.0 |
| Cygnal | 2026-09-11 | EVEN |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2026-09-10 | D+5.0 |
| YouGov | 2026-09-08 | D+1.0 |
| Emerson College | 2026-09-01 | R+5.0 |
| Global Strategy Group | 2026-08-31 | D+4.0 |
| Wedgewood Polls | 2026-08-29 | R+2.0 |
| Abacus Data | 2026-08-28 | D+9.0 |
| Suffolk University | 2026-08-23 | R+4.6 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
Econ
Tossup
as of Oct 7, 2026
FPO
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
IE
Tilt R
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Oct 5, 2026
Sabato
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
Silver
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 7, 2026
ST
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Iowa we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Josh Turek vs. Ashley Hinson: Latest Polls as Iowa Senate Hopefuls Debate
Iowa has not elected a Democratic U.S. senator in nearly two decades. But as Democratic state Representative Josh Turek and Republican Congresswoman Ashley Hinson prepare to debate Wednesday night, the latest polling is putting a GOP-held seat within striking…
Biztoc.com · Yesterday
WATCH LIVE: U.S. Senate candidates Hinson, Turek debate in Iowa
In one of the most competitive Senate races this year, Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson is looking to win out over Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek.
Biztoc.com · Yesterday
The One Issue the Midterm Victors Must Solve? Corruption
One of the most potent midterm election slogans was offered by the Republicans in 1946: “HAD ENOUGH?” The GOP swept into power after years of New Deal dominance.We like to say that what counts is not what you are against, but what you are for. Not always, tho…
brennancenter.org · Yesterday
Transcript: Trump Tirade over Shrinking Rally Crowds Emasculates MAGA
The following is a lightly edited transcript of the October 6 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. I’m your host, Greg Sargent.Donald Trum…
The New Republic · October 6, 2026
Trump Is Pretending to Create Jobs in Key Midterm States
The political ascent of Donald Trump has forced me to adjust upward my estimation of the American public’s gullibility. That Trump is a fraud is something I would have been able to perceive when I was 7 years old. Yet Americans twice elected him president. If…
The New Republic · October 6, 2026
Ashley Hinson helped secure $209 million in funding to strengthen Iowa’s rural healthcare
The funding boost may enhance Hinson's appeal among rural voters, potentially influencing the tight Iowa Senate race dynamics. The post Ashley Hinson helped secure $209 million in funding to strengthen Iowa’s rural healthcare appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Crypto Briefing · Today
In Iowa, Republicans Know They Have a Trump Problem...
How GOP Senate candidate Ashley Hinson is navigating a tricky electoral roadmap in the Hawkeye state.
Thedispatch.com · October 6, 2026