Democratic
Juliana Stratton
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all Senate races
Illinois U.S. Senate election, 2026
Juliana Stratton vs. Don Tracy. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
Juliana Stratton favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+15.6
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 1 matched poll. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Don Tracy
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Whitfield Harrington Jr. · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | 2026-10-01 | D+13.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Safe D
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Safe D
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct 14, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Safe D
as of Oct 14, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Illinois we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Black Folks Built Wealthy Neighborhoods Across America—Where Are They Now?
From Black Wall Streets and affluent neighborhoods to thriving business districts, Black Americans built powerful networks where ownership, entrepreneurship and prosperity could flourish. But for many of these communities, that prosperity would come under thr…
The Root · August 13, 2026
Juliana Stratton’s Big Senate Win, Kristi Noem’s Next Steps and the Origins of Women’s History Month
Weekend Reading on Women’s Representation is a compilation of stories about women’s representation in politics, on boards, in sports and entertainment, in judicial offices and in the private sector in the U.S. and around the world—with a little gardening and …
Ms. Magazine · March 21, 2026
Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker Faces Backlash From Black Leaders After Helping Black Woman Get Elected
With backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Juliana Stratton, his number 2, handily defeated black candidate Rep. Robin Kelly, the Congressional Black Caucus pick.
The Daily Caller · March 19, 2026
Dem Illinois Senate candidate Raja Krishnamoorthi slammed for selling $13 water while preaching ‘affordability’ in campaign
Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, D-Ill., is facing online mockery after his Senate campaign’s election night watch party charged customers exorbitant prices for water, despite claiming to champion affordability issues. Krishnamoorthi, a five-term House lawmaker, nar…
Freerepublic.com · March 19, 2026
Pritzker helped a Black woman become senator. Some Black leaders are still mad at him. - Politico
Pritzker helped a Black woman become senator. Some Black leaders are still mad at him.Politico Takeaways from the Illinois primary electionsCNN Juliana Stratton wins Illinois Democratic primary for US SenateBBC Illinois Senate Primary Election 2026 Live Resul…
Slashdot.org · March 19, 2026
Takeaways from Illinois primary elections
The matchup is set for November's general election to replace longtime Sen. Dick Durbin in Illinois. CBS News projects that Lieutenant Gov. Juliana Stratton will come out on top in the Democratic Party's primary election. She will face off against former Repu…
CBS News · March 18, 2026
Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton expected to face Republican Don Tracy for Sen. Durbin's seat
Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton is projected to go up against Republican Don Tracy in November to win retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's seat. CBS News political director Fin Gomez has more details.
CBS News · March 18, 2026
Race heats up for Sen. Dick Durbin's seat as Lt. Gov. Stratton set to face Republican Don Tracy
Tuesday's Illinois primaries left two frontrunners projected to face off in November for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's seat. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton is expected to run against Republican Don Tracy. CBS News' Fin Gomez has more.
CBS News · March 18, 2026