Democratic
Ed Markey
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates: Seth Moulton.
← all Senate races
Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, 2026
Ed Markey vs. John Deaton. Incumbent running.
VotePredictor forecast
Ed Markey favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+20.9
98%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 5 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
John Deaton
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-23 | D+16.0 |
| Suffolk University | 2026-06-12 | D+25.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-04-20 | D+23.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-02-16 | D+29.0 |
| Cygnal[108][C] | 2026-01-25 | D+24.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
IE
Solid D
Sabato
Safe D
WH
Safe D
Econ
Safe D
RCP
Solid D
DDHQ
Safe D
Fox
Solid D
VoteHub
Solid D
FPO
Safe D
ST
Safe D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
San Diego Mayor Todd Gloria urges Congress to extend protected status for Haitians
The bill introduced by Massachusetts Sen. Ed Markey would have the Secretary of Homeland Security extend TPS to Haitians through March 2029.
KPBS · August 6, 2026
'Massive military boondoggle': Critics warn Trump's about to blow billions on battleships
The Trump administration’s controversial plan to build a new “Golden Fleet” of guided-missile battleships is drawing mounting criticism from budget watchdogs, defense analysts, and Democratic lawmakers, who warn the proposal would put taxpayers on the hook fo…
Raw Story · August 6, 2026
Trump's $275 Billion Battleship Fleet Set to Be 'Most Expensive US Warships Ever'
The Trump administration's controversial plan to build a new "Golden Fleet" of guided-missile battleships is drawing mounting criticism from budget watchdogs, defense analysts, and Democratic lawmakers, who warn the proposal would put taxpayers on the hook fo…
Common Dreams · August 5, 2026
VIDEO: Democrat CAVES to trans lobby after previously warning party about alienating voters
A Democrat who had warned his party against alienating voters with the transgender agenda appears to have completely turned his back on that previous sage advice.During a debate with incumbent Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.) for the Senate nomination of his party on…
TheBlaze · August 4, 2026
Seth Moulton’s anti-trans rhetoric comes back to haunt him in Senate debate with Ed Markey
Massachusetts Senate candidate Rep. Seth Moulton walked back controversial remarks about transgender athletes during a heated debate Monday.
Advocate.com · August 4, 2026
Massachusetts Senate candidates trade sharp attacks in fiery debate as incumbent Markey skips event
Rep. Seth Moulton and Republican John Deaton clashed over Trump, immigration and Israel in a fiery Massachusetts Senate debate Tuesday night.
Fox News · June 17, 2026
3 takeaways from the debate between Senate candidates Seth Moulton and John Deaton
3 takeaways from the debate between Senate candidates Seth Moulton and John Deatonboston.com
Boston.com · June 17, 2026
Former Ripple CTO Schwartz Sends XRP To John Deaton Senate Campaign
Former Ripple CTO David Schwartz has sent an undisclosed amount of XRP to John Deaton’s US Senate campaign, giving Deaton’s latest fundraising push a direct signal of support from one of the XRP community’s most recognizable figures. Schwartz Donates XRP To D…
Bitcoinist · May 18, 2026