Democratic
Ben Ray Luján
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
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New Mexico U.S. Senate election, 2026
Ben Ray Luján vs. Larry Marker. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Ben Ray Luján favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+16.9
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 1 matched poll. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Larry Marker
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2026-08-28 | D+15.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Oct 6, 2026
Econ
Safe D
as of Oct 7, 2026
FPO
Safe D
as of Oct 6, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct 6, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Likely D
as of Oct 5, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct 6, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct 7, 2026
ST
Safe D
as of Oct 6, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in New Mexico we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
New Mexico Senator Trounces Trump With Spanish Insult After 'New America' Idea
Oye, President Donald Trump. Sen. Ben Ray Luján (D-N.M.) has a word for you now that you're proposing to rename New Mexico as New America. "It's New Mexico, always has been and always will be," Luján wrote in a recent X post. "Just like how you'll always be a…
Biztoc.com · September 8, 2026
Luján Holds Big Lead in New Mexico Senate Race
A new Albuquerque Journal poll in New Mexico finds Ben Ray Luján (D) leading Larry Marker (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 53% to 38%. New Mexico Senate Race Ben Ray Luján (D) 53% Larry Marker (R) 38% Albuquerque Journal poll
Politicalwire.com · September 1, 2026
Treasury Sec. Forgets Own Job in Rush to Dodge Democrat’s Questions
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent became so engrossed Wednesday in providing non-answers about the president’s $1.8 billion “anti-weaponization” fund that he accidentally dodged a question about his own employment.Bessent’s appearance before the Senate Finance…
The New Republic · June 3, 2026
Right-to-Repair Laws Gain Political Momentum Across America
"California, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Connecticut, Oregon and Washington have all passed comprehensive right-to-repair regulations," reports CNBC, "covering everything from consumer electronics and farm equipment to wheelchairs and automobiles." And …
Slashdot.org · April 27, 2026
Walmart Announces Digital Price Labels for Every Store in the U.S. By the End of 2026
Walmart is "rolling out digital price tags to replace the old paper ones," reports CNBC, planning to implement them in all U.S. stores by the end of the year: Amanda Bailey, a team leader in electronics who works at a Walmart in West Chester, Ohio, estimate…
Slashdot.org · March 23, 2026
IN-DEPTH: 'We Had to Take Action': New Mexico Referendum Project Aims to Rescind Six Progressive Laws Using Rights Granted in State Constitution
A grassroots movement is challenging six laws passed in the New Mexico state legislature that its organizers say threaten their communities, infringe upon parental rights, and compromise the election process. “People are starting to realize that this is not t…
Freerepublic.com · September 17, 2023
Court ruling sought on NM abortion law (Filing says legislative repeal of 1969 law leaves 1963 law in place)
A petition filed last week in the Fifth Judicial District for Chaves County in Roswell calls for a return to a 1963 law outlawing abortion. State Sen. David Gallegos, R-Eunice, Larry Marker of Roswell, who’s recently filed as a write-in candidate for the offi…
Freerepublic.com · July 8, 2022