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Tennessee U.S. Senate election, 2026

Marquita Bradshaw vs. Bill Hagerty. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast
Bill Hagerty favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+26.7
95%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 1 matched poll. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Marquita Bradshaw

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Tharon Chandler · Independent
  • Andrew Gerena · Independent
  • Jeremy Hearn · Independent
  • Robert Jones · Independent
  • James Macon III · Independent
  • Yoshi Matthews · Independent
  • David Sutman Jr. · Independent
  • Catherine Whitson · Independent

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
Targoz Market Research[28]2026-08-26R+20.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid R
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Safe R
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Safe R
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Safe R
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Safe R
as of Sep 21, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Tennessee we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.