Democratic
Marquita Bradshaw
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all Senate races
Tennessee U.S. Senate election, 2026
Marquita Bradshaw vs. Bill Hagerty. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Bill Hagerty favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+27.6
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 1 matched poll. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Bill Hagerty
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Tharon Chandler · Independent
- Andrew Gerena · Independent
- Jeremy Hearn · Independent
- Robert Jones · Independent
- James Macon III · Independent
- Yoshi Matthews · Independent
- David Sutman Jr. · Independent
- Catherine Whitson · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-08-26 | R+20.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid R
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Safe R
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Safe R
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Safe R
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct 14, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Safe R
as of Oct 14, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Tennessee we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
What Democrats Should Learn From the Spate of Socialist Wins on Election Day -
While many had hoped that Election Day would result in a sweeping rebuke of Trump and Trumpism, neither a pandemic nor an economic recession were enough to deliver an overwhelming rejection. And although it’s looking likely that Biden will eke out a victory, …
In These Times · November 5, 2020
Democrat Marquita Bradshaw Refuses to Concede to Bill Hagerty, Says Shes Not Going Away [TN]
Democrat Marquita Bradshaw officially lost the U.S. Senate race to U.S. Sen.-Elect Bill Hagerty Tuesday by a landslide margin, but she said Tuesday that she refuses to accept the results. Bradshaw also said she wont address Hagerty as her new U.S. senator. B…
Freerepublic.com · November 5, 2020
More women and more Black women than ever ran for Congress in 2020, but they still lost ground
In 2020, Black women set a new record – 117 entered primaries for the House and 13 for the U.S. Senate, according to the Center for American Women and Politics.In total, 643 women were candidates in congressional primary and general elections, including a rec…
Yahoo Entertainment · November 5, 2020
Republican Bill Hagerty is next Tennessee U.S. Senator, defeating Democrat Marquita Bradshaw
Election results for Republican Bill Hagerty vs. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in race to fill vacant U.S. Senate seat in Tennessee.
Tennessean · November 4, 2020
Race to the US Senate remains tight in Kansas - KWCH
<ol><li>Race to the US Senate remains tight in Kansas KWCH </li><li>Republican Bill Hagerty is next Tennessee U.S. Senator, defeating Democrat Marquita Bradshaw Tennessean </li><li>'They're like Batman and Robin gone bad': Obama targets Georgia senators i…
KWCH · November 3, 2020
She’s Definitely Not Like Us: Senator Marsha Blackburn Dragged For Cringe Kendrick Lamar AI-Slop Video
GOP Sen. Marsha Blackburn, who is currently running for Governor of Tennessee, is being swamped with well-deserved backlash after she shared AI-generated slop featuring herself as Kendrick Lamar performing his iconic Drake diss, "Not Like Us," flanked by Rep.…
Hip-Hop Wired · October 14, 2026
'I Could Say Stupidest Things and You'd Clap,' Trump Says
President Trump boasted Saturday that he could blurt out nonsense and still get cheers from his supporters—and in Tennessee, he leaned into that hypothesis. Campaigning for Sens. Bill Hagerty and Marsha Blackburn, the president told a packed arena in Clarksvi…
Newser · October 11, 2026
MAGA senator targets Jack Smith with legal sanctions: 'Most serious remedy possible'
A Republican senator has filed a formal complaint asking Tennessee's attorney disciplinary board to investigate former special counsel Jack Smith and pursue his disbarment.Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-TN) sent a four-page letter dated Wednesday to R. Culver Schmid, c…
Raw Story · September 30, 2026