Democratic
Xavier Becerra
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
California governor election, 2026
Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton. Term-limited.
VotePredictor forecast
Xavier Becerra favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+24.1
94%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Steve Hilton
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Kreate Strategies | 2026-06-17 | D+25.0 |
| CEPP | 2026-05-26 | D+23.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
IE
Solid D
Sabato
Safe D
WH
Safe D
RCP
Solid D
Fox
Solid D
VoteHub
Solid D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Xavier Becerra can’t dodge the press forever — or these lingering questions
Xavier Becerra wants to be governor, but he is already treating Californians with contempt.
New York Post · Today
Xavier Becerra ducks media as campaign for California governor tries to run out the clock
Xavier Becerra is running — for California governor and away from the press.
New York Post · Yesterday
Awkward moment Xavier Becerra ducks reporters after slipping out of press conference at state Capitol
The California gubernatorial candidate bolted from reporters, dodging tough questions on his record overseeing migrant children.
New York Post · August 6, 2026
'They Kept Me Like a Slave': Teen Says Xavier Becerra's Child Migrant Program Ended in Sexual Abuse
On Monday, the latest video dropped, exposing the cruelty and calculation of former Biden Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Xavier Becerra in his oversight of the Office of Refugee Resettlement (ORR). But instead of whistleblower testimony, this new r…
Freerepublic.com · August 4, 2026
Billionaire tax is endorsed by California Democrats, deepening party divisions over Prop. 40 - Los Angeles Times
Billionaire tax is endorsed by California Democrats, deepening party divisions over Prop. 40Los Angeles Times California Democratic Party endorses billionaire taxPolitico California Democratic Party endorses billionaire wealth tax in narrow voteSacramento Bee…
Slashdot.org · August 3, 2026
Bombshell poll Shows Steve Hilton Leading Xavier Becerra in major California county
Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton’s uphill battle to beat Democrat Xavier Becerra in liberal-leaning California is resonating in a key, populous Southern California county. A new poll by the University of California, Irvine taken June 9 to 12 sh…
Freerepublic.com · August 1, 2026
Bombshell poll shows Steve Hilton leading Xavier Becerra in major California county
The race between Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton is a genuine toss-up in this county.
New York Post · August 1, 2026
Steve Hilton courts ‘abandoned’ Latino voters with promise to restore the California dream
Hilton vowed to overhaul “disaster” public schools, abolish the annual $800 small-business tax, and slash utility bills in half.
New York Post · July 25, 2026