Democratic
Charles Booker
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all Senate races
Kentucky U.S. Senate election, 2026
Charles Booker vs. Andy Barr. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
Andy Barr favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+16.5
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 1 matched poll. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Andy Barr
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Christopher Campbell · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group | 2026-08-27 | R+9.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid R
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Safe R
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Safe R
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Safe R
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct 14, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Safe R
as of Oct 14, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Kentucky we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
The Race to Replace Mitch McConnell: Latest Polls, Odds as Senator Returns
Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell returned to the Senate this week following a months-long absence, as Democrat Charles Booker seeks to defeat Republican Representative Andy Barr to flip the seat in the traditionally conservative state. McConnell suffered a fa…
Biztoc.com · September 15, 2026
McConnell Returns to Congress—After 3 Months of Paid Leave With Taxpayer-Subsidized Healthcare
Former US Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell finally came back to the Capitol on Monday after a three-month absence that fueled calls for the Kentucky Republican's resignation and widespread speculation over whether he was even still alive. The 84-year-ol…
Common Dreams · September 14, 2026
Charles Booker's Chances of Flipping Kentucky Seat Amid McConnell Absence
Democratic Senate nominee Charles Booker is running behind Republican Andy Barr in Kentucky's open Senate race, according to the latest available polling, even as the seat's incumbent, retiring Senator Mitch McConnell, remains absent from Washington amid unre…
Biztoc.com · September 9, 2026
Crucial deadline in Mitch McConnell saga set to trigger never-before-tested law
Under a never-before-tested Kentucky law, Monday could be the last chance to call a special election before the midterms to fill the seat widely believed to have been effectively left vacant by Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) for more than a month.As an apparent …
Raw Story · August 3, 2026
MS NOW host left 'bereft of words' after watching GOP lawmaker's ad about being white
As part of an interview with Kentucky Democrat Charles Booker, who is running for the seat now held by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell (R), MS NOW host Jonathan Capehart was left, as he put it, “bereft of words,” after watching a flagrantly racist ad being run …
Raw Story · May 23, 2026
Republican who wanted to rename highway after Trump caught erasing him off campaign site
Another Republican who spent his primary wrapping himself in Donald Trump has quietly peeled the president off his campaign website, this time in a red-leaning Florida seat.Casey Askar, the GOP nominee in Florida's redrawn 22nd Congressional District, ran the…
Raw Story · September 11, 2026
House Bill Would Rewrite CFPB Supervision and Enforcement Rules
House Republicans are proposing a rewrite of the statutory framework that governs how the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau makes rules, supervises financial institutions and brings enforcement actions. The Consumer Financial Protection Accountability and …
pymnts.com · September 2, 2026