Kentucky U.S. Senate election, 2026

Charles Booker vs. Andy Barr. Incumbent retiring.

VotePredictor forecast

Andy Barr favored

Likely R · predicted margin R+13.8

87%

chance to win

Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Charles Booker

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Andy Barr

Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →

Polls

Pollster	Date	Margin
Global Strategy Group[110][H]	2026-08-27	R+9.0
Race to the WH[109]	2026-08-27	R+10.6

Other forecasts

Cook

Solid R

as of Sep 15, 2026

DDHQ

Safe R

as of Sep 22, 2026

Econ

Safe R

as of Sep 22, 2026

FPO

Safe R

as of Sep 22, 2026

Fox

Solid R

as of Sep 22, 2026

Solid R

as of Sep 17, 2026

RCP

Solid R

as of Sep 20, 2026

Sabato

Safe R

as of Aug 26, 2026

Silver

Solid R

as of Sep 19, 2026

Safe R

as of Sep 21, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Kentucky we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

YearWinnerMargin

2020Mitch McConnell(R)R+19.5

2016Rand Paul(R)R+14.6

2014Mitch McConnell(R)R+15.5

2010Rand Paul(R)R+11.5

2008Mitch McConnell(R)R+5.9

2004Jim Bunning(R)R+1.3

2002Mitch McConnell(R)R+29.4

1998Jim Bunning(R)R+0.6

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.