Democratic
Troy Jackson
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Maine U.S. Senate election, 2026
Troy Jackson vs. Susan Collins. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Troy Jackson favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+0.1
50%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 5 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Susan Collins
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights | 2026-09-15 | R+0.7 |
| YouGov | 2026-09-08 | D+4.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 2026-08-10 | D+2.0 |
| Hart Research Associates | 2026-08-01 | D+4.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-07-20 | D+3.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Tossup
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Tossup
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep 21, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Maine we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Susan Collins Blasted by Troy Jackson Over FBI Probe Report—‘Corruption’
Senator Susan Collins, a Republican, was hit with criticism from her Democratic challenger Troy Jackson after ProPublica published a report about her alleged interactions with a major campaign donor, as polls show a tight race in Maine six weeks out from the …
Biztoc.com · Today
Troy Jackson, the Accidental Candidate
Troy Jackson emerged from nowhere to succeed Graham Platner in Maine’s Senate race. Now the Democratic Party is taking control.
New York Magazine · Today
Troy Jackson downplays ties to socialists after prior backing from Maine DSA and Hasan Piker
Maine Senate hopeful Troy Jackson is seeking to downplay his ties to the far left, rejecting the socialist moniker despite previously receiving the backing of radical streamer Hasan Piker and the Maine chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America. “I don’t…
Freerepublic.com · Yesterday
Troy Jackson downplays ties to socialists after prior backing from Maine DSA and Hasan Piker
Maine Senate hopeful Troy Jackson currently has a 1.8 percentage-point edge over incumbent Sen. Susan Collin (R-Maine), according to the latest RealClearPolitics polling aggregate.
New York Post · Yesterday
Lingering feuds threaten Democrats' bid to reclaim Congress
By Nolan D. McCaskill WASHINGTON, Sept 19 (Reuters) - Democrats are seeking to reclaim Congress, but lingering divisions from a bruising run-up to the November election threaten to imperil the party's attempt to claw back power from President Donald Trump's R…
Yahoo Entertainment · September 19, 2026
FBI’s anti-corruption team eyed Susan Collins’ operation. Then Trump’s purge began
Sen. Susan Collins’ Democratic critics have a handful of standard criticisms that have become staples of this year’s Senate race in Maine. The longtime Republican incumbent, they argue, votes with Donald Trump and the president’s party the vast majority of th…
Biztoc.com · Today
Susan Collins Was Target of Federal Bribery Case … Until Trump Gutted the FBI
Maine Senator Susan Collins was targeted by the FBI in an investigation into illegal campaign donations and influence peddling, ProPublica reported.
Rolling Stone · Today
FBI Was Targeting Susan Collins in Bombshell Bribery Probe—Until Trump
A massive new report from ProPublica shows that the FBI was investigating Republican Senator Susan Collins for an alleged illegal pay-to-play scheme with a defense contractor—until the Trump administration killed it. In 2019, Collins Super PAC head Scott Reed…
The New Republic · Today