Democratic
Troy Jackson
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all Senate races
Maine U.S. Senate election, 2026
Troy Jackson vs. Susan Collins. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Troy Jackson favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+1.6
54%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Susan Collins
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates | 2026-08-01 | D+4.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-07-20 | D+3.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
IE
Tilt R
Sabato
Tossup
WH
Tilt D (flip)
Econ
Lean D (flip)
RCP
Tossup
DDHQ
Tossup
Fox
Tossup
VoteHub
Tilt D (flip)
FPO
Lean D (flip)
ST
Lean D (flip)
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
How Troy Jackson went from Maine logger to the Democratic nominee for Senate against Susan Collins
Troy Jackson's path to politics started during his time as a logger in Maine's north woods
Abcnews.com · Today
'I’m horrified': Support crumbles for 'powerhouse' GOP Senator ahead of midterm
President Donald Trump's headline-making assertion that voters are mad at Republicans — not him — has proven half true in a crucial swing state ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Democrats and independents who say they've repeatedly voted for their state's …
Raw Story · Today
'We Must Pass Medicare for All,' Says Troy Jackson as 12th Maine Maternity Unit Closes in 11 Years
Democratic US Senate candidate Troy Jackson on Friday was among the Maine leaders expressing anger over the decision by MaineHealth, the state's largest nonprofit healthcare system, to close a labor and delivery unit that's crucial to families in three counti…
Common Dreams · Yesterday
'Mainers Aren't Stupid': Troy Jackson Says Voters See Through Susan Collins' Charade
Democratic US Senate candidate Troy Jackson on Friday accused rival Sen. Susan Collins of trying to pull the wool over Maine voters' eyes with her decision to vote against confirming Todd Blanche as the next US attorney general.In a social media post, Jackson…
Common Dreams · Yesterday
Women in Maine may choose the victor in this year's Senate race
The race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson is one of the nation's most high-profile Senate contests this year -- and may ultimately be decided by an especially powerful voting bloc: Maine women.
NPR · Yesterday
US Senate confirms Trump loyalist Todd Blanche as new AG
Republicans dropped their opposition and confirmed President Donald Trump's former defense lawyer to a Cabinet position. Now, Todd Blanche will act as the nation's top law enforcement officer. The US Senate has narrowly approved President Donald Trump's nomin…
DW (English) · Today
Senate confirms Todd Blanche as Trump’s attorney general in 50-49 vote
Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche was narrowly confirmed by the Senate on Saturday to lead the Justice Department on a permanent basis under President Trump. Blanche’s nomination was approved in a 50-49 vote, with two Republicans, Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-A…
Freerepublic.com · Today
Todd Blanche confirmed: Trump's former criminal lawyer becomes attorney general
Todd Blanche, the man who defended President Donald Trump when he was convicted on criminal charges in New York City, has been confirmed as attorney general, according to reports. Blanche was confirmed early Saturday morning by a vote of 50 to 49 after a dram…
Raw Story · Today