Democratic
Troy Jackson
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all Senate races
Maine U.S. Senate election, 2026
Troy Jackson vs. Susan Collins. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Susan Collins favored
Toss-up · predicted margin R+0.3
54%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 10 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Susan Collins
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Marist University | 2026-10-04 | D+4.0 |
| Wedgewood Polls | 2026-10-01 | D+4.0 |
| co/efficient | 2026-09-30 | R+2.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-09-22 | R+3.0 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research | 2026-09-22 | D+3.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-09-21 | D+4.0 |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-09-15 | R+0.7 |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | 2026-09-14 | D+5.0 |
| YouGov | 2026-09-08 | D+4.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 2026-08-10 | D+2.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
Econ
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 7, 2026
FPO
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 6, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Oct 5, 2026
Sabato
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
Silver
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 7, 2026
ST
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 6, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Maine we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Planned Parenthood Will Spend $1 Million, Helping Abdul El-Sayed
Planned Parenthood Votes will spend another $1 million on digital ads attacking Republican Senate candidates in Maine and Michigan, an outlay that boosts radical pro-abortion Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in the race to replace retiring Sen. Gary Peters. The super …
Freerepublic.com · Yesterday
4 takeaways from the first debate between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson - Portland Press Herald - Maine Sunday Telegram
4 takeaways from the first debate between Susan Collins and Troy JacksonPortland Press Herald - Maine Sunday Telegram 5 Takeaways From the First Maine Senate DebateThe New York Times New poll shows Jackson with lead in Senate race, Pingree with advantage in g…
Slashdot.org · Yesterday
What happened in the first Maine Senate debate between Collins and Jackson - PBS
What happened in the first Maine Senate debate between Collins and JacksonPBS Takeaways From the First Maine Senate Debate Between Susan Collins and Troy JacksonThe New York Times Susan Collins, Troy Jackson spar over Trump, abortion and ICE in first Senate d…
Slashdot.org · Yesterday
Susan Collins vs. Troy Jackson: 5 takeaways from Maine Senate debate - USA Today
Susan Collins vs. Troy Jackson: 5 takeaways from Maine Senate debateUSA Today Takeaways From the First Maine Senate Debate Between Susan Collins and Troy JacksonThe New York Times Susan Collins, Troy Jackson spar over Trump, abortion and ICE in first Senate d…
Slashdot.org · Yesterday
Even His Own Party Hates Him: Susan Collins BURIES Troy Jackson in ME Debate With One Question
All conservatives wish that Maine Republican Senator Susan Collins leaned more to the right, but the fact is that Collins represents a purple state and has survived in Washington so long by being a moderate. In a time when communists are openly seizing contro…
Freerepublic.com · Yesterday