Democratic
Angie Craig
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
← all Senate races
Minnesota U.S. Senate election, 2026
Angie Craig vs. Michele Tafoya. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
Angie Craig favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+4.4
61%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Michele Tafoya
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates: Cynthia Gail, Ahmad Hassan, Joyce Lacey, Patrick Munro, Adam Schwarze, Tom Weiler, Royce White.
Other listed candidates
- Angie Craig · DFL
- Peggy Flanagan · DFL
- George Kalberer · DFL
- Billy Nord · DFL
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Impact Research | 2026-05-28 | D+7.0 |
| Emerson College | 2026-02-08 | D+6.4 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Likely D
IE
Likely D
Sabato
Likely D
WH
Safe D
Econ
Likely D
RCP
Likely D
DDHQ
Likely D
Fox
Likely D
VoteHub
Solid D
FPO
Safe D
ST
Likely D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Democratic establishment uses a ‘vulnerability’ attack on the left
The News MORGAN, Minn. — Rep. Angie Craig is trying a familiar tactic in her Senate Democratic primary battle against Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan: warning that her more progressive rival is far more vulnerable than her to Republican attacks. Craig has used the cl…
Biztoc.com · Yesterday
State Sen. Claims Angie Craig Sought His Endorsement While He Was In ICU
Things seem to be heating up in Minnesota for the Democratic U.S. Senate nomination. Source: NBC News Democratic Minnesota state Sen. John Hoffman said Friday that Rep. Angie Craig, D-Minn., sought his endorsement for her U.S. Senate campaign while he was in …
Crooksandliars.com · July 28, 2026
Angie Craig Ally Disputes Claim He Sought Endorsement From Senator In ICU
“This seems like a mix-up of timing and conflating stuff,” Dave Wellstone told HuffPost about Minnesota state Sen. John Hoffman’s claims.
HuffPost · July 27, 2026
Minnesota state Sen. John Hoffman says Angie Craig sought his endorsement while he was in ICU
Democratic Minnesota state Sen. John Hoffman said Rep. Angie Craig, D-Minn., sought his endorsement for her Senate campaign while he was in intensive care following the June 2025 attempt on his life.
NBC News · July 26, 2026
Minn. Lawmaker Says Angie Craig Sought His Endorsement As He Was In ICU After Assassination Attempt
“I’m being public about it because it really hurt,” Democratic state Sen. John Hoffman said at an event for Craig’s Senate opponent, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan.
HuffPost · July 26, 2026
Exclusive: Minnesota GOP-Endorsed Senate Candidate Adam Schwarze Blasts DC's 'Establishment Class'
Adam Schwarze celebrated winning the Minnesota GOP's endorsement for Senate over Michele Tafoya and blasted DC's "elite establishment class." The post Exclusive: Minnesota GOP-Endorsed Senate Candidate Adam Schwarze Blasts DC’s ‘Establishment Class’ appeared …
Breitbart News · June 1, 2026
Hall of Famer Tony Dungy endorses Michele Tafoya in crowded Minnesota Republican primary for U.S. Senate
Pro Football Hall of Fame coach Tony Dungy endorses former NBC sideline reporter Michele Tafoya in Minnesota's Republican U.S. Senate primary race.
Fox News · May 26, 2026
Michele Tafoya Opens Commanding Lead in Minnesota GOP Senate Primary
Former NBC Sunday Night Football sideline reporter Michele Tafoya is dominating the early Republican primary race for Minnesota’s open 2026 U.S. Senate seat. A Quantus Insights survey conducted May 6-8 among 663 likely Republican primary voters puts Tafoya at…
Freerepublic.com · May 24, 2026