Democratic
Chris Pappas
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
← all Senate races
New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, 2026
Chris Pappas vs. John Sununu. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
Chris Pappas favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+6.1
93%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 5 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
John Sununu
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Edmond LaPlante · Constitution
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-09-22 | D+5.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-09-21 | D+8.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-09-17 | D+8.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-08-24 | R+2.0 |
| Saint Anselm College Survey Center | 2026-08-18 | D+7.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Lean D
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Likely D
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Likely D
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Likely D
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Lean D
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Lean D
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Lean D
as of Oct 6, 2026
Silver
Likely D
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Likely D
as of Oct 7, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Will Republicans or Democrats win the Senate? These key midterm races will decide.
Control of both chambers of Congress is up for grabs in November's election. But as important as the House of Representatives is, all signs point to the true drama of the midterms being in the battle for the Senate. There are 35 Senate seats on the ballot thi…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 13, 2026
Transcript: Rep. Chris Pappas on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 11, 2026
The following is the transcript of the interview with Democratic New Hampshire Senate candidate Rep. Chris Pappas that aired on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" on Oct. 11, 2026.
CBS News · October 11, 2026
Democrat Chris Pappas says "we're taking nothing for granted" in N.H. race
Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas, who's running to represent New Hampshire in the Senate, said that "we're taking nothing for granted" as Election Day approaches, amid a "tough race" in the Granite State.
CBS News · October 11, 2026
GOP candidate flailing after Republicans hyped up their odds of blue-state upset: report
Republicans once counted New Hampshire among their likeliest pickups. Their top recruit, John E. Sununu, is now trailing as the race for senator slips from their grasp, according to a Washington Sun report.When Sen. Jeanne Shaheen announced her retirement, GO…
Raw Story · October 8, 2026
Chris Pappas leads New Hampshire Senate race, polls show Democratic edge
A Democratic lead in the New Hampshire Senate race could influence party strategies and voter engagement in upcoming elections nationwide. The post Chris Pappas leads New Hampshire Senate race, polls show Democratic edge appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Crypto Briefing · October 6, 2026
Spoiler campaigns deployed by political operative who cost the GOP in 2016: report
Aaron Day, the third-party candidate who helped sink Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte’s reelection bid in 2016, is trying to export his approach across the country, Semafor reported on Wednesday.Day is steering as much as $2.5 million, maybe less if it works, thr…
Raw Story · Yesterday
Amid Blue-Wave Panic, Republicans Still Hopeful About New Hampshire
New Hampshire Senate race has become one to watch, as John Sununu tries to outrun Donald Trump’s unpopularity
Time · October 5, 2026
How Worried Should Dems Be About the GOP’s Huge Cash Advantage?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside Washington How worried should Dems be about the GOP’s huge cash advantage?Late Wednesday nig…
The New Republic · October 2, 2026