Democratic
Chris Pappas
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates: Karishma Manzur, Jared Sullivan.
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New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, 2026
Chris Pappas vs. John E. Sununu. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
Chris Pappas favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+1.9
57%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 8 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
John E. Sununu
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates: Scott Brown.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Peak Insights[99][B] | 2026-06-27 | D+1.0 |
| Saint Anselm | 2026-06-25 | D+6.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-23 | D+3.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-04-21 | D+7.0 |
| Emerson College | 2026-03-23 | D+1.6 |
| Saint Anselm | 2026-03-18 | D+3.0 |
| yes. every kid. | 2026-01-29 | D+4.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-01-19 | D+5.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Lean D
IE
Tilt D
Sabato
Lean D
WH
Likely D
Econ
Likely D
RCP
Tossup
DDHQ
Likely D
Fox
Lean D
VoteHub
Likely D
FPO
Likely D
ST
Likely D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Trump's on course to crash and burn — and his actions show he knows it
Trump, his billionaire buddies, and his Republican lickspittles appear to be setting up a possible massive fraud with regard to this fall’s election. It could signal the end of American democracy.We democracy-loving Americans have fought oligarchy three times…
Raw Story · July 25, 2026
House approves long-awaited stock trading ‘ban’ — here’s who the largest traders are (ony 4.51 years left)
WASHINGTON — The House passed a sweeping set of restrictions on stock trades by lawmakers and their spouses that was paired with a voter ID provision that scared off many Democrats. The “Stop Insider Trading Act” cleared the House 232 to 198, with the full su…
Freerepublic.com · July 23, 2026
13 Dems Help House GOP Pass Stock Trading Ban That Includes Trump Attack on Voters
The US House of Representatives on Wednesday held a series of key votes, including one in which over a dozen Democrats helped Republicans pass a purported congressional stock trading ban, even though the GOP tacked on a voter suppression provision demanded by…
Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
New Hampshire becomes the Senate midterms’ sleeper race
The News Democrats are dreaming of taking over the Senate and winning in red states from Iowa to Alaska. Chris Pappas wants to make sure they don’t forget about New Hampshire. Pappas, a four-term congressman, is the party’s consensus candidate to succeed reti…
Biztoc.com · June 29, 2026
‘Backrooms’ producer hosts glitzy Dem fundraiser ahead of midterms — with an A-list emcee
Chernin and his wife Megan hosted over 100 guests, including Damon and Heidi Lindelof among others at their home to support the political campaigns of Texas’ James Talarico, New Hampshire’s Chris Pappas, Ohio’s Sherrod Brown and Alaska’s Mary Peltola.
Page Six · June 17, 2026
Sen. Kennedy Predicts Schumer Shutdown Before Midterms
While campaigning in New Hampshire for U.S. Senate candidate John Sununu, Sen. John Kennedy, R-La., said he expects another federal government shutdown in September, in order to give Democrats an advantage in the November midterm elections. Kennedy told repor…
Freerepublic.com · June 15, 2026
Sen. Kennedy Predicts Schumer Shutdown Before Midterms
While campaigning in New Hampshire for U.S. Senate candidate John Sununu, Sen. John Kennedy, R-La., said he expects another federal government shutdown in September, in order to give Democrats an advantage in the November midterm elections. Kennedy told repor…
Daily Signal · June 15, 2026
Iconic strategist drops blunt reminder to Dems about key state: 'It's a warning sign'
Legendary Democratic strategist James Carville is raising urgent warnings about the New Hampshire Senate race, saying it demands far more attention than it's currently receiving."What I'm seeing in New Hampshire right now is keeping me up at night — and it sh…
Raw Story · May 10, 2026