Democratic
Chris Pappas
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
← all Senate races
New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, 2026
Chris Pappas vs. John E. Sununu. Incumbent retiring.
VotePredictor forecast
Chris Pappas favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+4.0
73%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 10 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
John E. Sununu
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Edmond LaPlante · Constitution
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-09-17 | D+8.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-08-24 | R+2.0 |
| Saint Anselm College Survey Center | 2026-08-18 | D+7.0 |
| Saint Anselm | 2026-06-25 | D+6.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-23 | D+3.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-04-21 | D+7.0 |
| Emerson College | 2026-03-23 | D+1.6 |
| Saint Anselm | 2026-03-18 | D+3.0 |
| yes. every kid. | 2026-01-29 | D+4.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-01-19 | D+5.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Likely D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Likely D
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Likely D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Lean D
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Lean D
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Likely D
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Likely D
as of Sep 21, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
The 2026 midterms are 6 weeks away. What the latest polls say.
The 2026 midterm elections are just 43 days away. All of the key primaries have been decided. With summer officially behind us, the fall campaign is now underway.So where do things stand — nationwide — in the race to control Congress? Which party has a better…
Yahoo Entertainment · September 21, 2026
Trump rages at 'Evil Cause' sweeping America — but GOP senator leading the charge anyway
WASHINGTON — The rare 2026 issue that draws huge support from Republicans and Democrats in Congress is the same one that’s mobilized many Americans: restrictions on giant data centers.The House has overwhelmingly passed legislation forcing state regulators to…
Raw Story · September 21, 2026
Chris Pappas Leads in New Hampshire Senate Race
A new InsiderAdvantage poll in New Hampshire finds Chris Pappas (D) leading John Sununu (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 40%. New Hampshire Senate Race Chris Pappas (D) 48% John Sununu (R) 40% InsiderAdvantage poll · likely voters · ±2.83%
Politicalwire.com · September 18, 2026
Race to Replace Democrat Senator in New Hampshire Shifts Toward GOP
The race to replace retiring Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire has shifted toward Republicans, with The Cook Political Report moving the contest from Lean Democratic to Toss Up as former Republican Senator John Sununu and Democratic Represent…
Biztoc.com · September 16, 2026
This blue state is the midterms’ surprising new Senate battleground
New Hampshire has emerged as a surprise battleground for control of the Senate ahead of the midterms, complicating Democratic hopes of flipping the chamber. The nonpartisan election analysis site Cook Political Report changed its rating of the race to succeed…
Freerepublic.com · September 15, 2026
The Crucial Senate Race Dems Are Forgetting About
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonThe crucial Senate race Dems are forgetting aboutNew Hampshire isn’t on most Democ…
The New Republic · September 10, 2026
New Hampshire emerges as potential Senate battleground - The Hill
New Hampshire emerges as potential Senate battlegroundThe Hill The Establishment Pulls Through: Five Takeaways from the New Hampshire PrimariesThe New York Times Centrist beats progressive foe in NH Democratic Senate primary marked by Israel criticismtimesofi…
Slashdot.org · September 9, 2026
Pappas-Sununu showdown set in Democrats’ must-win Senate race: 3 takeaways from New Hampshire - The Hill
Pappas-Sununu showdown set in Democrats’ must-win Senate race: 3 takeaways from New HampshireThe Hill The Establishment Pulls Through: Five Takeaways from the New Hampshire PrimariesThe New York Times New Hampshire Senate Primary Election 2026 Live Results: C…
Slashdot.org · September 9, 2026