VotePredictor
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New Jersey U.S. Senate election, 2026

Cory Booker vs. Justin Murphy. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast
Cory Booker favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+22.3
98%
chance to win

Fundamentals model · no poll: state lean, incumbency, the prior result and the national environment. Full forecast history and methodology →

Republican

Justin Murphy

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Veronica Fernandez · Independent
  • Joanne Kuniansky · Socialist Workers

Polls

No verified 2026 general-election poll is currently available in the feed for this race.

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid D
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Safe D
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Safe D
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct 6, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Safe D
as of Oct 7, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in New Jersey we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

YearWinnerMargin
2024Andy Kim(D)D+9.6
2020Cory A. Booker(D)D+16.3
2018Robert Menendez(D)D+11.2
2014Cory A. Booker(D)D+13.5
2013Cory A. Booker(D)D+10.9
2012Robert Menendez(D)D+19.5
2008Frank R. Lautenberg(D)D+14.1
2006Robert Menendez(D)D+16.0
2002Frank R. Lautenberg(D)D+9.9
2000Jon Stevens Corzine(D)D+3.0

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.