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South Carolina U.S. Senate election, 2026

Annie Andrews vs. Republican nominee TBD. Interim appointee running.

VotePredictor forecast
Republican nominee TBD favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+12.1
77%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 1 matched poll. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Annie Andrews

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Republican nominee TBD

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates: Duke Buckner, Russell Fry, Darline Graham, Mark Lynch, Mark McBride, Darius L. Mitchell, Clark Neilson, Ralph Norman, Mark Sanford, Samuel Shepherd.

Other listed candidates

  • Mark Hackett · Constitution
  • Kasie Whitener · Libertarian
  • Catherine Fleming Bruce · Democratic, write-in

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
Impact Research2026-03-01R+5.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid R
IE
Likely R
Sabato
Safe R
WH
Lean R
Econ
Lean R
RCP
Likely R
DDHQ
Likely R
Fox
Solid R
VoteHub
Likely R
FPO
Likely R
ST
Likely R

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Candidate news

Three Keys to a Democratic Victory in Maine

Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …

The New Republic · July 21, 2026
MAGA Rages at Lindsey Graham’s Sister for “Idiotic” Decision

Lindsey Graham’s little sister has officially decided to run for his empty Senate seat—much to the chagrin of MAGA world.South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster appointed Darline Graham Nordone to temporarily fill Graham’s vacancy last week, days after the 71-…

The New Republic · July 21, 2026
Annie Andrews Chances of Beating Darline Graham

Democrat Annie Andrews entered South Carolina's Senate race expecting to face one of the state's most entrenched political figures. Just weeks later, the political landscape has been completely transformed. The death of longtime Republican Senator Lindsey Gra…

Biztoc.com · July 20, 2026
Even in Summertime, We Can’t Lose Focus: State-Level Democracy Dispatches From Maine, Kansas, Idaho and Virginia

Summertime—and the fight for democracy—is sizzling, especially in the states. Here’s what is happening across the country. Sudden shakeups in U.S. Senate elections have foisted reproductive rights front and center. The upcoming primary in Maine to replace Gra…

Ms. Magazine · July 20, 2026
Annie Andrews on How Lindsey Graham's Death Shifted Senate Race

Dr. Annie Andrews, Democratic candidate for South Carolina’s U.S. Senate race, told Newsweek the death of Senator Lindsey Graham has shaken up the election for Republicans but that her focus has not changed. Graham, who had represented South Carolina in the S…

Biztoc.com · July 18, 2026