Democratic
Mark Warner
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
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Virginia U.S. Senate election, 2026
Mark Warner vs. Bert Mizusawa. Incumbent renominated.
Nominee changed — Mizusawa won the primary
Mark Moran ended his Senate bid on June 17, 2026 — and was running as an independent, not a Republican, so the polls behind this forecast never described a Dem-vs-Rep matchup at all. Republicans chose Bert Mizusawa in the August 4 primary. The nominee is known; every poll on file predates him, so the forecast returns once a pollster asks about Mizusawa vs Mark Warner.
No forecast is published for this race. Bert Mizusawa is the Republican nominee; the forecast returns once a pollster asks about the new matchup.
Republican
Bert Mizusawa
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No verified 2026 general-election poll is currently available in the feed for this race.
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Safe D
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Safe D
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct 14, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Safe D
as of Oct 14, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Virginia we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Sen. Mark Warner talks inflation, Iran war and AI as he seeks Senate re-election
Sen. Mark Warner says ending the Iran war and fixing tariffs are the keys to taming inflation as he seeks a third Senate term.
wtvr.com · October 13, 2026
AI Safety Regulations Gain Momentum in Congress Ahead of Midterms
With leading artificial intelligence executives sounding the alarm over rogue autonomous agents and voter anxiety over AI rising, some in Congress have begun pushing for more robust federal regulation and oversight of the technology. The latest effort comes f…
pymnts.com · October 12, 2026
Trump names Jay Clayton as AI czar: Where he stands on AI safety
President Trump on Sunday named Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton as his new "AI czar," adding a different category of intelligence, the "artificial" kind, to the U.S. spy chief's portfolio.In a post on Truth Social, Trump said Clayton will lead a…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 4, 2026
Cruz blocks Senate Democrats’ bid to pass AI safety bill
A Democratic trio attempted to pass an artificial intelligence bill via a unanimous consent request on Tuesday but were blocked on the Senate floor. Sens. Mark Warner (D-Va.), Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) and Andy Kim (D-N.J.) sought to pass their Artificial Intel…
Biztoc.com · September 29, 2026
Early Voting Underway In Virginia With Senate Race, 11 House Seats On Ballot
By RICH TUCKER, The Daily Signal | September 19, 2026 As of Friday, early voting is underway in Virginia, and voters can cast ballots in person through Halloween ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms. Among other key races in the commonwealth, Democrat Sen. Mark Warn…
Biztoc.com · September 22, 2026
Early Voting Underway in Virginia With Senate Race, 11 House Seats on Ballot
As of Friday, early voting is underway in Virginia, and voters can cast ballots in person through Halloween ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms. Among other key races in the commonwealth, Democrat Sen. Mark Warner is seeking a fourth term against Republican Bert Miz…
Daily Signal · September 19, 2026
Mizusawa Wins GOP Senate Primary in Virginia
A retired Army major general is now the GOP's pick to take on a long-serving Democratic senator in Virginia. Bert Mizusawa won Tuesday's Republican primary for US Senate and will face incumbent Sen. Mark Warner in November, the AP projects. With about 29% of …
Newser · August 5, 2026
Retired Gen. Bert Mizusawa fails to qualify for Virginia GOP's U.S. Senate primary
Bert Mizusawa, a retired major general in the Army and former adviser to President Donald Trump's campaign, failed to qualify for the Virginia GOP's U.S. Senate primary, falling short of the signature requirement, according to his campaign.
Richmond.com · March 29, 2018