Democratic
Mark Warner
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
← all Senate races
Virginia U.S. Senate election, 2026
Mark Warner vs. Bert Mizusawa. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Mark Warner favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+37.0
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Bert Mizusawa
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Mark Moran · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| The Public Sentiment Institute | 2026-06-16 | D+44.0 |
| The Public Sentiment Institute/Virginia Project | 2026-05-05 | D+25.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
IE
Solid D
Sabato
Safe D
WH
Safe D
Econ
Solid D
RCP
Solid D
DDHQ
Safe D
Fox
Solid D
VoteHub
Solid D
FPO
Safe D
ST
Safe D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Virginia Primary Results Set Up Fall Matchups
By Rich Tucker via The Daily Signal | August 05, 2026 The stage is set for November’s congressional elections. The Associated Press called all of Virginia’s races less than an hour after polls closed at 7 p.m. Tuesday. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democrat Ma…
Biztoc.com · August 6, 2026
Mizusawa Wins GOP Senate Primary in Virginia
A retired Army major general is now the GOP's pick to take on a long-serving Democratic senator in Virginia. Bert Mizusawa won Tuesday's Republican primary for US Senate and will face incumbent Sen. Mark Warner in November, the AP projects. With about 29% of …
Newser · August 5, 2026
Virginia Senate race to battle top intel Dem takes shape after redistricting delays
A Republican nominee emerged to challenge Sen. Mark Warner in a three-way Virginia Senate race that includes independent candidate Mark Moran.
Fox News · August 4, 2026
Va. Republicans to pick nominee to face Sen. Mark Warner
Virginia Republicans will choose this week among three Fairfax County candidates who want the GOP nomination to challenge U.S. Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va.
Richmond.com · August 2, 2026
'Delusional': Elon Musk's latest vow bashed as pie in the sky by senators of both parties
WASHINGTON — U.S. senators from both parties are dismissing Elon Musk’s prediction that artificial intelligence will soon do away with the need for retirement accounts — a controversial view echoed by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent this week.“I don't thin…
Raw Story · July 31, 2026