Democratic
Mark Warner
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
← all Senate races
Virginia U.S. Senate election, 2026
Mark Warner vs. Bert Mizusawa. Incumbent renominated.
Nominee changed — Mizusawa won the primary
Mark Moran ended his Senate bid on June 17, 2026 — and was running as an independent, not a Republican, so the polls behind this forecast never described a Dem-vs-Rep matchup at all. Republicans chose Bert Mizusawa in the August 4 primary. The nominee is known; every poll on file predates him, so the forecast returns once a pollster asks about Mizusawa vs Mark Warner.
No forecast is published for this race. Bert Mizusawa is the Republican nominee; the forecast returns once a pollster asks about the new matchup.
Republican
Bert Mizusawa
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No verified 2026 general-election poll is currently available in the feed for this race.
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Safe D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Safe D
as of Sep 21, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Virginia we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Early Voting Underway in Virginia With Senate Race, 11 House Seats on Ballot
As of Friday, early voting is underway in Virginia, and voters can cast ballots in person through Halloween ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms. Among other key races in the commonwealth, Democrat Sen. Mark Warner is seeking a fourth term against Republican Bert Miz…
Daily Signal · September 19, 2026
Shaheen, Schatz, Murray, Reed, Warner, Coons Statement on Deadly Iranian Wedding Strike
Today, U.S. Senators Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), Ranking Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Brian Schatz (D-HI), Ranking Member of the Senate Appropriations Committee Subcommittee on State and Foreign Operations, Patty Murray (D-WA), Vice Chair of t…
Globalsecurity.org · September 18, 2026
September 15, 2026 - PBS News Hour full episode
Tuesday on the News Hour, President Trump slams the Supreme Court's decision blocking his effort to restrict mail-in voting with less than two months before Election Day. Virginia Sen. Mark Warner discusses efforts to regulate artificial intelligence. Plus, a…
PBS · September 16, 2026
Sen. Mark Warner says U.S. can strengthen AI safety without losing race to China
The warnings about artificial intelligence are growing more urgent, and increasingly, they're coming from inside the industry. AI researchers have resigned over safety concerns, while some of the field's prominent leaders are calling for stronger government o…
PBS · September 15, 2026
Sen. Mark Warner Calls Donald Trump’s AI Guardrails Idea ‘Absurd’ as Industry Warnings Mount
In an exclusive interview with Inc., the senator from Virginia said that getting AI safety right was the most important problem to solve right now.
Biztoc.com · September 15, 2026
Mizusawa Wins GOP Senate Primary in Virginia
A retired Army major general is now the GOP's pick to take on a long-serving Democratic senator in Virginia. Bert Mizusawa won Tuesday's Republican primary for US Senate and will face incumbent Sen. Mark Warner in November, the AP projects. With about 29% of …
Newser · August 5, 2026
Retired Gen. Bert Mizusawa fails to qualify for Virginia GOP's U.S. Senate primary
Bert Mizusawa, a retired major general in the Army and former adviser to President Donald Trump's campaign, failed to qualify for the Virginia GOP's U.S. Senate primary, falling short of the signature requirement, according to his campaign.
Richmond.com · March 29, 2018
Former major general running for U.S. Senate in GOP primary calls Kaine divisive, supports Trump
Republican U.S. Senate candidate Bert Mizusawa formally joined the race last week with 66 percent of potential GOP primary voters undecided.
Richmond.com · March 11, 2018