VotePredictor
← all Senate races

Georgia U.S. Senate election, 2026

Jon Ossoff vs. Mike Collins. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast
Jon Ossoff favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+7.1
76%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 10 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
Race to the WH[53]2026-07-16D+8.8
Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research[93][E]2026-07-16D+9.0
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research2026-07-16D+9.0
RealClearPolitics[92]2026-07-16D+6.2
Wick2026-06-30D+3.8
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2026-06-27D+13.0
Race to the WH[58]2026-04-09D+5.8
Echelon Insights2026-04-09D+7.0
RealClearPolitics[91]2026-03-02D+2.8
Emerson College2026-03-02D+4.4

Other forecasts

Cook
Lean D
IE
Tilt D
Sabato
Likely D
WH
Likely D
Econ
Lean D
RCP
Tossup
DDHQ
Likely D
Fox
Lean D
VoteHub
Likely D
FPO
Likely D
ST
Likely D

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Candidate news

Georgia Candidates Gather at Chamber Luncheon to Discuss Business, Data Centers

ATHENS, Ga.—On Wednesday, a host of political candidates attended the Chamber of Commerce Congressional Luncheon to discuss initiatives, make pledges, and more. Attendees included U.S. Senate candidate Rep. Mike Collins, gubernatorial candidates Rick Jackson …

Daily Signal · Yesterday
What Polls, GOP Endorsements Reveal About Jon Ossoff’s Cross-Party Appeal

Senator Jon Ossoff received support from two Republican mayors in his bid to win reelection against a challenge from GOP Representative Mike Collins in Georgia, one of the most dynamic battlegrounds of the 2026 midterm elections. Georgia’s Senate race is view…

Biztoc.com · August 6, 2026
Trump's Immigration Policies Have Been Rejected; Why Won't Dems Act Like It?

With midterms approaching and the future of US.democracy balanced on a knife's edge, a media-driven moral panic about the Democratic Socialists of America is dividing the Democratic Party. That's unhelpful. Everyone knows Democrats need to unify under a big t…

Common Dreams · August 5, 2026
Another conservative endorses Jon Ossoff in crucial GA Senate race

Former GOP Senator Jeff Flake endorsed Democrat Jon Ossoff for a U.S. Senate seat in Georgia, in interview with Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

USA Today · August 4, 2026
Ossoff: The next thing, or "Great White Hype" for Dems?

Jon Ossoff is having a moment. But some Democratic insiders are questioning whether he's the real deal — or if a few slickly produced videos are making him look like more of a political juggernaut than he is. Why it matters: The Georgia senator, 39, has catap…

Biztoc.com · August 2, 2026
Top Senate Fundraiser Ossoff Passes $80M as Campaign Seeks More Donations

Senator Jon Ossoff, a Georgia Democrat, one of this Senate cycle's strongest fundraisers, reported about $42 million cash on hand, nearly 20 times the amount reported by his opponent, Republican Mike Collins, according to recent Federal Election Commission (F…

Biztoc.com · August 1, 2026
Collins refuses to answer questions on possible white supremacist ties

There are less than 100 days until the midterm elections in Georgia, but one question plaguing Republican Senate candidate Mike Collins is unlikely to go away before voters hit the polls in November. Representative Collins, who serves in Georgia's 10th congre…

Biztoc.com · July 31, 2026
Collins refuses to answer questions on possible white supremacist ties

Senate candidate Mike Collins (R-GA) stopped a news conference after refusing to answer questions about possible ties to white supremacists.

USA Today · July 31, 2026