VotePredictor
← all Senate races

Georgia U.S. Senate election, 2026

Jon Ossoff vs. Mike Collins. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast
Jon Ossoff favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+6.5
83%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 17 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
RealClearPolitics[108]2026-09-16D+7.5
Decision Desk HQ[106]2026-09-16D+6.4
270toWin[105]2026-09-16D+5.0
Silver Bulletin[91]2026-09-12D+9.1
FiftyPlusOne[107]2026-09-12D+7.7
Race to the WH[56]2026-09-12D+6.9
InsiderAdvantage2026-08-17D+7.5
Race to the WH[53]2026-07-16D+8.8
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research2026-07-16D+9.0
Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research[94][E]2026-07-16D+9.0
RealClearPolitics[93]2026-07-16D+6.2
Wick2026-06-30D+3.8
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2026-06-27D+13.0
Race to the WH[58]2026-04-09D+5.8
Echelon Insights2026-04-09D+7.0
Emerson College2026-03-02D+4.4
RealClearPolitics[91]2026-03-02D+2.8

Other forecasts

Cook
Lean D
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Likely D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Likely D
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Likely D
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Likely D
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Tilt D
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Lean D
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Likely D
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Likely D
as of Sep 21, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Georgia we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

Candidate news

Democrat Jon Ossoff Campaigned with Alleged Sexual Deviant Georgia Mayor Impeached for Corruption

Georgia Democrat Sen. Jon Ossoff has repeatedly campaigned with a mayor who allegedly exchanged explicit messages with an 18 year-old student and was impeached for spending thousands of taxpayer dollars on personal expenses. The post Democrat Jon Ossoff Campa…

Breitbart News · Yesterday
The 2026 midterms are 6 weeks away. What the latest polls say.

The 2026 midterm elections are just 43 days away. All of the key primaries have been decided. With summer officially behind us, the fall campaign is now underway.So where do things stand — nationwide — in the race to control Congress? Which party has a better…

Yahoo Entertainment · Yesterday
Transcript: Trump’s Pollster Drops Bomb on GOP as Midterm Panic Erupts

The following is a lightly edited transcript of the September 21 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. I’m your host, Greg Sargent.A new po…

The New Republic · Yesterday
Maher: Dems Like Ossoff, Roy Cooper Not Fighting Left Fringe

On Friday’s broadcast of HBO’s “Real Time,” host Bill Maher stated that while there are Democrats like Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) and Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Roy Cooper who aren’t on the fringe, they aren’t exactly fighting their party’s fringe The post Ma…

Breitbart News · September 19, 2026
Poll Shows Collins Closing In on Ossoff in Georgia U.S. Senate Race

New polling shows Republican Mike Collins closing in on far-left Jon Ossoff in the high-stakes Georgia U.S. Senate race.  The post Poll Shows Collins Closing In on Ossoff in Georgia U.S. Senate Race appeared first on Breitbart.

Breitbart News · September 18, 2026
Ken Paxton snubbed from Texas GOP fundraisers as polls spell trouble: report

Former President George W. Bush and Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) are teaming up to raise money for Senate Republicans nationwide, but they've pointedly left one candidate off the guest list: Ken Paxton, the GOP's own Senate nominee in their home state of Texas.Cor…

Raw Story · Today
GOP campaign chief flees questions about white nationalist-linked Senate candidate

National Republican Senatorial Committee chair Tim Scott (R-SC) was caught by reporters asking him for comment on Rep. Mike Rogers (R-GA), currently running in the Georgia Senate race, being linked to white nationalists.His response was to make his escape."Ar…

Raw Story · September 18, 2026
Thune, Kemp to headline fundraiser for Georgia Senate GOP nominee Mike Collins

Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp will headline a fundraiser next week for Rep. Mike Collins, the state’s GOP Senate nominee, according to an invite obtained by POLITICO. The Sept. 24 event will be held in Atlanta, and it comes as …

Biztoc.com · September 17, 2026