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Ohio U.S. Senate election, 2026

Sherrod Brown vs. Jon Husted. Special election.

VotePredictor forecast
Sherrod Brown favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+1.8
69%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 18 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Sherrod Brown

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
FiftyPlusOne2026-10-06D+4.3
co/efficient2026-10-06R+1.0
CNN/SSRS2026-10-05D+6.0
FiftyPlusOne2026-10-01D+3.9
New York Times/Siena University2026-10-01D+3.0
YouGov2026-09-30D+4.0
InsiderAdvantage2026-09-29D+1.0
Big Data Poll2026-09-27D+3.7
Marist University2026-09-27D+8.0
Suffolk University2026-09-27D+3.0
FiftyPlusOne2026-09-27D+5.1
Rasmussen Reports2026-09-23D+3.0
Quantus Insights2026-09-23D+0.5
FiftyPlusOne2026-09-23D+5.8
Trafalgar Group2026-09-16D+3.0
Bowling Green State University/YouGov2026-09-10D+3.0
InsiderAdvantage2026-09-09D+5.4
Abacus Data2026-08-28D+10.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Tossup
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Tossup
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Tossup
as of Oct 14, 2026
Silver
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Lean D (flip)
as of Oct 14, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Ohio we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

Candidate news

Senate Democratic candidates post ‘holy crap’ fundraising numbers

Senate Democratic candidates are posting eye-popping third-quarter fundraising numbers, cutting into Republicans’ midterm spending advantage across the map. James Talarico raised $64 million in Texas, Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff brought in $33 million, former Ohi…

Biztoc.com · Yesterday
'Holy crap': GOP senator scrambles over 'mind blowing' donations to Paxton opponent

Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-OH) called the record fundraising haul of the Democrat running against Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R-TX) “mind blowing,” then warned of diminishing returns.Semafor congressional bureau chief Burgess Everett reported Moreno’s remar…

Raw Story · Yesterday
Not ‘advice and consent’: Sherrod Brown taking heat for comments on ‘Trump judges’

Constitutional expert warns Senate wannabe over his 'curious pitch for a job'

Wnd.com · Yesterday
Transcript: Trump Boast about Rallies Wrecked by Humiliating GOP Leaks

The following is a lightly edited transcript of the October 15 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. I’m your host, Greg Sargent.Earlier th…

The New Republic · Yesterday
Sherrod Brown Says Democrats Won't Confirm 'Trump Judges' When Asked About Cost of Living Plans

During a part of an interview aired on Tuesday’s broadcast of MS NOW’s “11th Hour,” Ohio Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Sherrod Brown said that if he is elected, “we’re not, obviously, confirming judges that are Trump judges.” Brown said that, The post Sherro…

Breitbart News · October 14, 2026
Trump Is Turning Government Power Into an Electoral Liability

On October 11, a federal judge ordered the Trump administration to stop using taxpayer funds for television ads featuring the president. Yet two commercials continued airing past the court’s deadline. By the following evening, Justice Department lawyers h…

Common Dreams · October 14, 2026
Donald Trump Rallies Ohio Crowd In Youngstown, Weeks Before Election

By REBECCA DOWNS, The Daily Signal | October 13, 2026 Right after coming to the Buckeye State for a rally in the Dayton area, President Donald Trump was back in Ohio on Monday. This time, he welcomed a crowd in Youngstown. Trump has been campaigning for Sen. …

Biztoc.com · October 14, 2026
Trump returns to Ohio as Democrats try to claw back his advantage

David’s view YOUNGSTOWN, Ohio — Toward the end of Monday night’s MAGA rally, after Jon Husted heard Donald Trump compliment his jawline and his “ass,” he thanked the president for making Ohio so much easier for Republicans to win. “The Youngstown area, for de…

Biztoc.com · October 14, 2026