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Ohio U.S. Senate election, 2026

Sherrod Brown vs. Jon Husted. Special election.

VotePredictor forecast
Sherrod Brown favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+1.8
60%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 13 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Sherrod Brown

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
Trafalgar Group2026-09-16D+3.0
InsiderAdvantage2026-09-09D+5.4
Wedgewood Polls2026-08-13D+4.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2026-08-10D+8.0
The New York Times/Siena University2026-06-28R+3.0
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research2026-06-16D+3.0
Tulchin Research2026-06-04D+4.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2026-06-01D+8.0
Bowling Green State University/YouGov2026-04-14R+3.0
Echelon Insights2026-04-09R+6.0
Quantus Insights2026-03-14R+2.0
OnMessage2026-03-08D+2.0
EMC Research2026-02-22D+4.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Tossup
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Tossup
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Tossup
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep 21, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Ohio we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

Candidate news

Big Crypto Is Trying To Take Down Sherrod Brown in Ohio

Crypto-backed super PAC Fairshake plans to spend at least $30 million against Democrat Sherrod Brown in Ohio’s November 3 Senate special election, The New York Times first reported. Cryptocurrency groups are escalating their midterm spending after Senate Demo…

Biztoc.com · Today
After Clarity Act Fails, Crypto Super PAC Fairshake Targets Sherrod Brown With $30 Million

The Ohio spending comes days after the Senate blocked the crypto industry’s Clarity Act.

Decrypt · Yesterday
Crypto PAC to spend $30M opposing Sherrod Brown in Ohio, again: NYT

The digital asset-aligned PAC joined other groups to spend more than a combined $300 million in the 2024 Ohio Senate race, resulting in Sherrod Brown’s loss to Bernie Moreno.

Cointelegraph · Yesterday
Clarity Act fallout: crypto’s Fairshake PAC commits $30 million against Sherrod Brown

Crypto PAC Fairshake is throwing $30 million into an Ohio race against former Sen. Sherrod Brown, who has been skeptical of crypto.

Biztoc.com · Yesterday
The 2026 midterms are 6 weeks away. What the latest polls say.

The 2026 midterm elections are just 43 days away. All of the key primaries have been decided. With summer officially behind us, the fall campaign is now underway.So where do things stand — nationwide — in the race to control Congress? Which party has a better…

Yahoo Entertainment · Yesterday
GOP shifts midterm priorities as concerns turn to defending seats in red states

Republicans are playing defense deep in their own territory as voter anger over price hikes puts more House and Senate seats in play in the midterms.New rounds of big spending, visits from Trump administration officials and private conversations among top GOP…

Yahoo Entertainment · Today
Ken Paxton snubbed from Texas GOP fundraisers as polls spell trouble: report

Former President George W. Bush and Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) are teaming up to raise money for Senate Republicans nationwide, but they've pointedly left one candidate off the guest list: Ken Paxton, the GOP's own Senate nominee in their home state of Texas.Cor…

Raw Story · Today
Election Year Ploy? Democrats Reject Husted’s Unanimous Consent Request on Data Centers

Congress had a chance to address concerns about data centers felt by residents across the country, though that effort was stymied last Thursday by Democrats’ rejection of a unanimous consent request brought by Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio. Husted, who faces a spec…

Daily Signal · Yesterday