Democratic
Sherrod Brown
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Jon Husted favored
Toss-up · predicted margin R+2.0
58%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 9 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Jon Husted
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-06-28 | R+3.0 |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | 2026-06-16 | D+3.0 |
| Tulchin Research | 2026-06-04 | D+4.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 2026-06-01 | D+8.0 |
| Bowling Green State University/YouGov | 2026-04-14 | R+3.0 |
| Echelon Insights | 2026-04-09 | R+6.0 |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-03-14 | R+2.0 |
| OnMessage | 2026-03-08 | D+2.0 |
| EMC Research | 2026-02-22 | D+4.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
IE
Tilt R
Sabato
Tossup
WH
Tilt D (flip)
Econ
Tossup
RCP
Tossup
DDHQ
Tossup
Fox
Tossup
VoteHub
Tossup
FPO
Tossup
ST
Lean D (flip)
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Dem Senate hopeful flip-flops on emerging issue impacting communities across US
Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown celebrated Amazon datacenter construction in Ohio in 2015 but now campaigns against them as an electric grid drain.
Fox News · Today
It Wasn’t a Blowout, but El-Sayed Won. Get Behind Him, Democrats.
Coming into Election Day, Abdul El-Sayed’s victory in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary was widely expected. A blowout seemed possible. Instead, his victory margin will likely be less than two percentage points. (NBC News declared him the winner early Wedn…
The New Republic · August 5, 2026
GOP wallowing in 'red hot mess' in ruby red state as candidates flounder: 'Very dicey'
Republicans are increasingly viewing normally reliable Ohio as a "red hot mess" before the midterm elections, as pivotal candidates face either scandal or voter apathy.According to a report from Axios, at the top of the list for Republicans fretting devastati…
Raw Story · August 4, 2026
The 2026 Senate Map: The Democratic Path Runs Thru Michigan
David Shuster showed up to this week’s Amped Up angry, and it took 90 seconds to see why. Trump called into Fox & Friends and started screaming profanities on air b/c Iran declined his bombing “pause”—what Cliff called the water-break theory of war. Meanwhil…
Crooksandliars.com · August 3, 2026
This Sleazoid MAGA Congressman May Just Have Turned a Red
Seat Blue
I’m betting there’s a good chance you’ve never heard of Max Miller. Just another take-a-number MAGA Congressman. Except that he’s not. He’s a personal favorite of Donald Trump, having worked in the Trump 1.0 White House; he accompanied Trump on that cynical J…
The New Republic · August 3, 2026
Another Major Ohio Republican Suggests Max Miller Should Resign
In light of accusations from his ex-wife, Rep. Max Miller, R-Ohio, is facing calls from a fellow Ohio Republican to consider not only drop out of the race but resign his House seat. Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, put out a statement to his official X page on Thursd…
Daily Signal · Yesterday
EXCLUSIVE: Grassroots Support for Jon Husted Continues
FIRST ON THE DAILY SIGNAL—Grassroots support for Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, has continued to grow ahead of his special election, as Americans for Prosperity Action and its sister group, LIBRE Initiative Action, released new ads aimed at helping the senator win …
Daily Signal · Yesterday
Why Max Miller is staying in (for now) - Axios
Why Max Miller is staying in (for now)Axios Ohio Rep. Max Miller faces a growing number of calls to resign from fellow RepublicansNBC News Republican Sen. Jon Husted of Ohio says Rep. Max Miller should leave House and end fall campaignDallas News Bunny Dolls …
Slashdot.org · Yesterday