VotePredictor
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New Hampshire District 2 election, 2026

Maggie Goodlander vs. Lily Tang Williams.

VotePredictor forecast
Maggie Goodlander favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+15.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+5.2
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Lily Tang Williams

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Robbie Mahrou · Independent

Polls

The polls behind it

2 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMargin
Saint Anselm College Survey Center2026-08-18D+15.0
Saint Anselm2026-06-25D+19.0

Shown for context. The forecast above is fundamentals-only and does not use these polls: tested against 2016–2024, a poll-driven rule beat fundamentals only because of a single wave cycle and reversed without it. See methodology.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NH-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in New Hampshire's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: NH-1 · NJ-1