Past elections
Every polled Senate, Governor, House and presidential race back to 1998 — the actual result, the polls behind it, and how the model would have called it out-of-sample (trained only on earlier years). Filter by year, race type and state.
Year
Race type
State
| Race | Matchup | Polls | Model | Result | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Senate | Gordon Douglas Jones (D) vs Roy S. Moore (R) | 0 | — | D+1.6 | |
| South Carolina House | Archie Parnell (D) vs Ralph Norman (R) | 0 | — | R+3.1 | |
| Georgia House | Jon Ossoff (D) vs Karen Handel (R) | 0 | — | R+3.6 | |
| Montana House | Rob Quist (D) vs Greg Gianforte (R) | 0 | — | R+5.6 | |
| Kansas House | James A. Thompson (D) vs Ron Estes (R) | 0 | — | R+6.2 | |
| Virginia Governor | Ralph S. Northam (D) vs Ed W. Gillespie (R) | 0 | — | D+8.9 | |
| New Jersey Governor | Philip Murphy (D) vs Kimberly Ann Guadagno (R) | 0 | — | D+14.1 | |
| Utah House | Kathie Allen (D) vs John Curtis (R) | 0 | — | R+32.4 |