VotePredictor

Past elections

Every polled Senate, Governor, House and presidential race back to 1998 — the actual result, the polls behind it, and how the model would have called it out-of-sample (trained only on earlier years). Filter by year, race type and state.

Year
Race type
State
3 races

In 2007, the model called 3/3 of these races right (100%) using only pre-2007 data.

RaceMatchupPollsModelResultCall
Massachusetts HouseNiki Tsongas (D) vs Jim Ogonowski (R)2D+9.6D+6.2
Ohio HouseRobin R. Weirauch (D) vs Bob Latta (R)1R+12.9R+14.1
Kentucky GovernorSteve Beshear (D) vs Ernest Lee Fletcher (R)9D+20.0D+17.4