VotePredictor

Past elections

Every polled Senate, Governor, House and presidential race back to 1998 — the actual result, the polls behind it, and how the model would have called it out-of-sample (trained only on earlier years). Filter by year, race type and state.

Year
Race type
State
6 races

In 2025, the model called 2/2 of these races right (100%) using only pre-2025 data.

RaceMatchupPollsModelResultCall
Tennessee House1R+6.5R+8.8
Tennessee House0R+8.8
Florida House1R+8.5R+14.0
Florida House0R+14.0
New Jersey Governor0D+14.4
Virginia Governor0D+15.4