Past elections
Every polled Senate, Governor, House and presidential race back to 1998 — the actual result, the polls behind it, and how the model would have called it out-of-sample (trained only on earlier years). Filter by year, race type and state.
Year
Race type
State
In 2020, the model called 163/185 of these races right (88%) using only pre-2020 data.
| Race | Matchup | Polls | Model | Result | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 249 | D+7.0 | D+4.4 | ✓ |
| Iowa House | Rita R. Hart (D) vs Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | 1 | D+14.9 | EVEN | ✗ |
| California House | Christy Smith (D) vs Mike Garcia (R) | 3 | D+2.3 | R+0.1 | ✗ |
| Georgia President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 45 | R+1.9 | D+0.2 | ✗ |
| Arizona President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 69 | D+0.4 | D+0.3 | ✓ |
| Wisconsin President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 61 | D+6.2 | D+0.6 | ✓ |
| California House | TJ Cox (D) vs David G. Valadao (R) | 1 | R+10.8 | R+0.9 | ✓ |
| Utah House | Ben McAdams (D) vs Burgess Owens (R) | 3 | D+4.7 | R+1.0 | ✗ |
| Pennsylvania President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 89 | D+2.7 | D+1.2 | ✓ |
| California House | Gilbert Cisneros (D) vs Young Kim (R) | 1 | D+1.8 | R+1.2 | ✗ |
| Georgia Senate | Jon Ossoff (D) vs David A. Perdue (R) | 94 | R+1.6 | D+1.2 | ✗ |
| South Carolina House | Joe Cunningham (D) vs Nancy Mace (R) | 2 | D+3.3 | R+1.3 | ✗ |
| North Carolina President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 78 | R+0.3 | R+1.4 | ✓ |
| New York House | Anthony J. Brindisi (D) vs Claudia Tenney (R) | 1 | D+14.8 | R+1.4 | ✗ |
| Iowa House | Cindy Axne (D) vs David Young (R) | 1 | D+14.5 | D+1.4 | ✓ |
| PR Governor | Carlos Delgado Altieri (D) vs Carlos Delgado Altieri (R) | 9 | D+3.5 | D+1.5 | ✓ |
| Michigan Senate | Gary C. Peters (D) vs John James (R) | 58 | D+8.3 | D+1.7 | ✓ |
| North Carolina Senate | Cal Cunningham (D) vs Thomas Roland Tillis (R) | 65 | D+2.6 | R+1.8 | ✗ |
| Virginia House | Abigail A. Spanberger (D) vs Nicholas J. Freitas (R) | 1 | D+11.0 | D+1.8 | ✓ |
| Minnesota House | Angie Craig (D) vs Tyler Kistner (R) | 1 | D+17.1 | D+2.3 | ✓ |
| Arizona Senate | Mark Kelly (D) vs Martha McSally (R) | 60 | D+5.8 | D+2.4 | ✓ |
| Nevada President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 18 | D+1.6 | D+2.4 | ✓ |
| New York House | Dana Balter (D) vs John Katko (R) | 5 | D+1.1 | R+2.4 | ✗ |
| Iowa House | Abby Finkenauer (D) vs Ashley Hinson (R) | 2 | D+14.6 | R+2.6 | ✗ |
| Florida House | Donna E. Shalala (D) vs María Elvira Salazar (R) | 2 | D+5.0 | R+2.7 | ✗ |
| Michigan President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 74 | D+6.7 | D+2.8 | ✓ |
| New York House | Max N. Rose (D) vs Nicole Malliotakis (R) | 1 | D+0.2 | R+3.0 | ✗ |
| Minnesota House | Dan Feehan (D) vs Jim Hagedorn (R) | 1 | R+2.1 | R+3.1 | ✓ |
| Texas House | Lizzie Fletcher (D) vs Wesley Hunt (R) | 1 | D+7.8 | D+3.3 | ✓ |
| Florida President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 88 | R+0.8 | R+3.4 | ✓ |
| Pennsylvania House | Matt Cartwright (D) vs Jim Bognet (R) | 1 | D+5.9 | D+3.5 | ✓ |
| Pennsylvania House | Susan Wild (D) vs Lisa Scheller (R) | 4 | D+18.2 | D+3.7 | ✓ |
| Texas House | Gina Ortiz Jones (D) vs Tony Gonzales (R) | 1 | D+3.9 | R+4.0 | ✗ |
| Illinois House | Cheri Bustos (D) vs Esther Joy King (R) | 3 | D+10.4 | D+4.0 | ✓ |
| Indiana House | Christina Hale (D) vs Victoria Spartz (R) | 1 | R+3.8 | R+4.1 | ✓ |
| Oklahoma House | Kendra Horn (D) vs Stephanie Bice (R) | 5 | R+2.5 | R+4.1 | ✓ |
| Arizona House | Hiral Tipirneni (D) vs David Schweikert (R) | 4 | D+0.8 | R+4.3 | ✗ |
| North Carolina Governor | Roy A. Cooper (D) vs Dan Forest (R) | 35 | D+9.8 | D+4.5 | ✓ |
| Nebraska House | Kara Eastman (D) vs Don Bacon (R) | 6 | R+2.4 | R+4.6 | ✓ |
| New Hampshire House | Chris Pappas (D) vs Matt Mowers (R) | 5 | D+3.0 | D+5.1 | ✓ |
| Virginia House | Bryant Cameron Webb (D) vs Robert G. "Bob" Good (R) | 4 | D+1.0 | R+5.1 | ✗ |
| Minnesota Senate | Tina Smith (D) vs Jason Lewis (R) | 19 | D+9.7 | D+5.2 | ✓ |
| Texas President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 35 | R+4.8 | R+5.6 | ✓ |
| Virginia House | Elaine G. Luria (D) vs Scott W. Taylor (R) | 1 | D+8.4 | D+5.8 | ✓ |
| New Jersey House | Amy Kennedy (D) vs Jeff Van Drew (R) | 4 | D+3.7 | R+5.8 | ✗ |
| Michigan House | Hillary Scholten (D) vs Peter Meijer (R) | 6 | R+0.9 | R+5.9 | ✓ |
| Florida House | Charlie Crist (D) vs Anna Paulina Luna (R) | 1 | D+18.6 | D+6.1 | ✓ |
| Maine House | Jared Forrest Golden (D) vs Dale John Crafts (R) | 6 | D+17.1 | D+6.1 | ✓ |
| New Mexico Senate | Ben Ray Luján (D) vs Mark V. Ronchetti (R) | 3 | D+12.3 | D+6.1 | ✓ |
| Colorado House | Diane Mitsch Bush (D) vs Lauren Boebert (R) | 2 | R+1.1 | R+6.2 | ✓ |
| California House | Mike Levin (D) vs Brian Maryott (R) | 2 | D+18.8 | D+6.3 | ✓ |
| Missouri House | Jill Schupp (D) vs Ann Wagner (R) | 2 | R+4.1 | R+6.4 | ✓ |
| N2 President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 6 | D+2.4 | D+6.5 | ✓ |
| North Carolina House | Patricia Timmons-Goodson (D) vs Richard Hudson (R) | 2 | R+0.7 | R+6.6 | ✓ |
| Iowa Senate | Theresa Greenfield (D) vs Joni K. Ernst (R) | 25 | R+1.8 | R+6.6 | ✓ |
| Texas House | Wendy R. Davis (D) vs Chip Roy (R) | 1 | R+1.4 | R+6.6 | ✓ |
| Pennsylvania House | Eugene A. DePasquale (D) vs Scott Perry (R) | 3 | D+0.7 | R+6.6 | ✗ |
| Texas House | Sri Kulkarni (D) vs Troy E. Nehls (R) | 2 | D+2.8 | R+6.9 | ✗ |
| Minnesota President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 27 | D+8.3 | D+7.1 | ✓ |
| Texas House | Mike Siegel (D) vs Michael McCaul (R) | 2 | R+4.7 | R+7.1 | ✓ |
| Ohio House | Kate Schroder (D) vs Steve Chabot (R) | 1 | R+4.9 | R+7.2 | ✓ |
| New York House | Nancy Goroff (D) vs Lee M. Zeldin (R) | 1 | R+3.4 | R+7.3 | ✓ |
| New Hampshire President | Bernard Sanders (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 15 | D+10.6 | D+7.3 | ✓ |
| Illinois House | Sean Casten (D) vs Jeanne M. Ives (R) | 1 | D+15.8 | D+7.4 | ✓ |
| M2 President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 10 | R+1.2 | R+7.4 | ✓ |
| New Mexico House | Xochitl Torres Small (D) vs Yvette Herrell (R) | 3 | R+0.6 | R+7.5 | ✓ |
| California House | Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) vs Darrell Issa (R) | 3 | R+6.8 | R+7.9 | ✓ |
| Ohio President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 32 | R+4.8 | R+8.0 | ✓ |
| Iowa President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 28 | R+3.5 | R+8.2 | ✓ |
| California House | Phil Arballo (D) vs Devin Nunes (R) | 1 | R+8.9 | R+8.4 | ✓ |
| Maine Senate | Sara I. Gideon (D) vs Susan M. Collins (R) | 13 | D+1.8 | R+8.6 | ✗ |
| Texas House | Stephen Daniel (D) vs Ron Wright (R) | 1 | R+7.8 | R+8.8 | ✓ |
| Illinois House | Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (D) vs Rodney Davis (R) | 2 | D+2.0 | R+8.9 | ✗ |
| PR House | Aníbal Acevedo-Vilá (D) vs Aníbal Acevedo-Vilá (R) | 9 | D+17.0 | D+9.0 | ✓ |
| Maine President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 13 | D+11.3 | D+9.1 | ✓ |
| Alaska House | Alyse S. Galvin (D) vs Don Young (R) | 3 | R+5.4 | R+9.1 | ✓ |
| Colorado Senate | John Wright Hickenlooper (D) vs Cory Gardner (R) | 12 | D+10.0 | D+9.3 | ✓ |
| Texas Senate | Mary Jennings Hegar (D) vs John Cornyn (R) | 29 | R+8.2 | R+9.6 | ✓ |
| Mississippi Senate | Mike Espy (D) vs Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | 2 | R+10.3 | R+10.0 | ✓ |
| Montana Senate | Steve Bullock (D) vs Steve Daines (R) | 11 | R+4.6 | R+10.0 | ✓ |
| Kansas House | Sharice Davids (D) vs Amanda L. Adkins (R) | 1 | D+25.9 | D+10.1 | ✓ |
| Alaska President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 8 | R+11.4 | R+10.1 | ✓ |
| Virginia President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 14 | D+10.9 | D+10.1 | ✓ |
| New Hampshire House | Ann McLane Kuster (D) vs Steven Negron (R) | 5 | D+8.6 | D+10.2 | ✓ |
| South Carolina Senate | Jaime Harrison (D) vs Lindsey Graham (R) | 19 | R+6.6 | R+10.3 | ✓ |
| Arkansas House | Joyce Ann Elliott (D) vs French Hill (R) | 7 | R+2.6 | R+10.7 | ✓ |
| Florida House | Alan M. Cohn (D) vs Scott Franklin (R) | 4 | R+5.8 | R+10.8 | ✓ |
| New Mexico President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 5 | D+11.5 | D+10.8 | ✓ |
| Florida House | Margaret Good (D) vs Vern Buchanan (R) | 5 | R+11.8 | R+11.0 | ✓ |
| North Carolina House | Cynthia Lee Wallace (D) vs Dan Bishop (R) | 2 | R+1.2 | R+11.2 | ✓ |
| Kansas Senate | Barbara Goolsbee Bollier (D) vs Roger Marshall (R) | 11 | R+7.0 | R+11.4 | ✓ |
| South Carolina President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 18 | R+13.1 | R+11.7 | ✓ |
| California House | Brynne S. Kennedy (D) vs Tom McClintock (R) | 1 | R+7.5 | R+11.9 | ✓ |
| Virginia Senate | Mark R. Warner (D) vs Daniel M. Gade (R) | 12 | D+16.6 | D+12.1 | ✓ |
| North Carolina House | Morris Durham Davis (D) vs David Madison Cawthorn (R) | 2 | D+2.6 | R+12.2 | ✗ |
| Texas House | Helane Seikaly (D) vs Van Taylor (R) | 2 | R+1.6 | R+12.2 | ✓ |
| New York House | Sean Patrick Maloney (D) vs Chele Farley (R) | 1 | D+17.8 | D+12.6 | ✓ |
| Alaska Senate | Al Gross (D) vs Dan Sullivan (R) | 9 | R+6.5 | R+12.7 | ✓ |
| Illinois House | Marie Newman (D) vs Mike Fricilone (R) | 2 | D+21.2 | D+12.8 | ✓ |
| Montana House | Kathleen Williams (D) vs Matt Rosendale (R) | 6 | R+1.2 | R+12.8 | ✓ |
| Montana Governor | Mike Cooney (D) vs Greg Gianforte (R) | 8 | R+7.3 | R+12.9 | ✓ |
| Washington House | Carolyn Long (D) vs Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) | 2 | R+4.5 | R+13.0 | ✓ |
| Pennsylvania House | Christina M. Finello (D) vs Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | 3 | R+2.1 | R+13.1 | ✓ |
| Virginia House | Jennifer T. Wexton (D) vs Aliscia Andrews (R) | 1 | D+22.6 | D+13.1 | ✓ |
| Washington Governor | Jay Robert Inslee (D) vs Loren Culp (R) | 4 | D+17.1 | D+13.4 | ✓ |
| Ohio House | Alaina Shearer (D) vs Troy Balderson (R) | 1 | R+6.7 | R+13.5 | ✓ |
| Colorado President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 14 | D+12.2 | D+13.5 | ✓ |
| Texas House | Julie Oliver (D) vs Roger Williams (R) | 1 | R+2.9 | R+13.8 | ✓ |
| California House | Audrey Denney (D) vs Doug LaMalfa (R) | 1 | R+7.9 | R+14.0 | ✓ |
| Kansas House | Michelle De La Isla (D) vs Jake LaTurner (R) | 1 | R+8.0 | R+14.5 | ✓ |
| New York House | Tracy Mitrano (D) vs Thomas Reed (R) | 1 | R+10.5 | R+14.6 | ✓ |
| Kansas President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 10 | R+16.1 | R+14.7 | ✓ |
| Florida House | Pamela Michele Keith (D) vs Brian Mast (R) | 2 | R+0.7 | R+14.8 | ✓ |
| Missouri President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 10 | R+12.8 | R+15.4 | ✓ |
| New Hampshire Senate | Jeanne Shaheen (D) vs Bryant Messner (R) | 11 | D+14.3 | D+15.7 | ✓ |
| New Jersey President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 11 | D+20.2 | D+15.9 | ✓ |
| Indiana President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 8 | R+16.5 | R+16.1 | ✓ |
| Illinois Senate | Richard J. Durbin (D) vs Mark C. Curran (R) | 2 | D+26.4 | D+16.1 | ✓ |
| Oregon President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 5 | D+19.9 | D+16.1 | ✓ |
| New Jersey Senate | Cory A. Booker (D) vs Rikin Mehta (R) | 5 | D+23.4 | D+16.3 | ✓ |
| Montana President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 13 | R+11.7 | R+16.4 | ✓ |
| New Mexico House | Debra A. Haaland (D) vs Michelle Garcia Holmes (R) | 1 | D+26.3 | D+16.4 | ✓ |
| Missouri Governor | Nicole Galloway (D) vs Mike Parson (R) | 7 | R+9.2 | R+16.4 | ✓ |
| Mississippi President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 4 | R+23.5 | R+16.6 | ✓ |
| Ohio House | Desiree Tims (D) vs Mike Turner (R) | 2 | R+8.3 | R+16.7 | ✓ |
| Illinois President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 7 | D+15.3 | D+17.0 | ✓ |
| New Mexico House | Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) vs Alexis Martinez Johnson (R) | 1 | D+29.5 | D+17.4 | ✓ |
| Delaware House | Lisa Blunt Rochester (D) vs Lee Murphy (R) | 1 | D+22.9 | D+17.4 | ✓ |
| Oregon Senate | Jeff Merkley (D) vs Jo Rae Perkins (R) | 1 | D+24.6 | D+17.6 | ✓ |
| Louisiana President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 6 | R+24.4 | R+18.6 | ✓ |
| Delaware President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 3 | D+21.4 | D+19.0 | ✓ |
| California House | Sara Jacobs (D) vs Georgette Gómez (R) | 2 | D+13.9 | D+19.0 | ✓ |
| Nebraska President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 2 | R+17.2 | R+19.1 | ✓ |
| Washington President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 6 | D+22.4 | D+19.2 | ✓ |
| Kentucky Senate | Amy McGrath (D) vs Mitch McConnell (R) | 8 | R+13.1 | R+19.5 | ✓ |
| Florida House | Lois Frankel (D) vs Laura Loomer (R) | 1 | D+29.9 | D+19.9 | ✓ |
| Connecticut President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 4 | D+25.1 | D+20.1 | ✓ |
| Alabama Senate | Gordon Douglas Jones (D) vs Tommy Tuberville (R) | 10 | R+14.3 | R+20.4 | ✓ |
| Utah President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 6 | R+16.3 | R+20.5 | ✓ |
| Rhode Island President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 2 | D+26.0 | D+20.8 | ✓ |
| Delaware Governor | John C. Carney Jr. (D) vs Julianne E. Murray (R) | 1 | D+27.9 | D+20.8 | ✓ |
| Delaware Senate | Christopher A. Coons (D) vs Lauren E. Witzke (R) | 1 | D+29.1 | D+21.5 | ✓ |
| New York President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 5 | D+29.4 | D+22.1 | ✓ |
| Florida House | Donna Deegan (D) vs John Rutherford (R) | 1 | R+20.8 | R+22.2 | ✓ |
| Utah House | Kael Weston (D) vs Chris Stewart (R) | 1 | R+20.9 | R+22.4 | ✓ |
| M1 President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 9 | D+20.6 | D+23.1 | ✓ |
| Tennessee President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 3 | R+20.9 | R+23.2 | ✓ |
| Iowa House | J.D. Scholten (D) vs Randy Feenstra (R) | 3 | R+7.8 | R+24.2 | ✓ |
| Maine House | Chellie M. Pingree (D) vs Jay T. Allen (R) | 3 | D+26.6 | D+24.3 | ✓ |
| Indiana Governor | Woody Myers (D) vs Eric Joseph Holcomb (R) | 5 | R+24.9 | R+24.4 | ✓ |
| Alabama President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 8 | R+25.3 | R+25.5 | ✓ |
| Kentucky President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 7 | R+21.6 | R+25.9 | ✓ |
| South Dakota President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 4 | R+22.2 | R+26.2 | ✓ |
| Tennessee Senate | Marquita Bradshaw (D) vs Bill Hagerty (R) | 2 | R+26.5 | R+27.0 | ✓ |
| Kansas House | Laura Lombard (D) vs Ron Estes (R) | 1 | R+12.8 | R+27.3 | ✓ |
| Arkansas President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 4 | R+31.8 | R+27.6 | ✓ |
| California President | Bernard Sanders (D) vs Joe Biden (R) | 11 | D+31.1 | D+29.2 | ✓ |
| Hawaii President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 3 | D+33.1 | D+29.5 | ✓ |
| Oklahoma Senate | Abby Broyles (D) vs James M. Inhofe (R) | 3 | R+25.4 | R+30.2 | ✓ |
| Idaho President | Joe Biden (D) vs Bernard Sanders (R) | 2 | R+24.9 | R+30.8 | ✓ |
| Oklahoma House | Kojo Asamoa-Caesar (D) vs Kevin Hern (R) | 1 | R+32.6 | R+31.0 | ✓ |
| South Dakota Senate | Daniel P. Ahlers (D) vs M. Michael Rounds (R) | 1 | R+26.0 | R+31.5 | ✓ |
| New Hampshire Governor | Dan Feltes (D) vs Chris Sununu (R) | 11 | R+20.5 | R+31.8 | ✓ |
| Utah Governor | Chris Peterson (D) vs Spencer J. Cox (R) | 5 | R+29.5 | R+32.6 | ✓ |
| Arkansas Senate | Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. (D) vs Tom Cotton (R) | 3 | D+40.6 | D+33.1 | ✓ |
| Oklahoma President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 5 | R+31.3 | R+33.1 | ✓ |
| Massachusetts Senate | Edward J. Markey (D) vs Kevin J. O'Connor (R) | 3 | D+32.1 | D+33.1 | ✓ |
| Maryland President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 7 | D+32.1 | D+33.2 | ✓ |
| North Dakota President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 4 | R+25.9 | R+33.4 | ✓ |
| Massachusetts President | Joe Biden (D) vs Bernard Sanders (R) | 4 | D+35.3 | D+33.5 | ✓ |
| West Virginia Governor | Ben Salango (D) vs James Justice (R) | 5 | R+17.1 | R+33.9 | ✓ |
| Vermont President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 4 | D+35.1 | D+35.4 | ✓ |
| Nebraska Senate | Chris E. Janicek (D) vs Ben Sasse (R) | 1 | R+34.5 | R+38.3 | ✓ |
| West Virginia President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 5 | R+33.7 | R+38.9 | ✓ |
| Utah House | Darren Parry (D) vs Blake D. Moore (R) | 1 | R+28.4 | R+39.1 | ✓ |
| Vermont House | Peter Welch (D) vs Miriam Berry (R) | 1 | D+35.2 | D+40.3 | ✓ |
| North Dakota Governor | Shelley Lenz (D) vs Doug Burgum (R) | 1 | R+37.6 | R+40.5 | ✓ |
| Vermont Governor | David Zuckerman (D) vs Phil Scott (R) | 1 | R+34.9 | R+41.1 | ✓ |
| Utah House | Devin D. Thorpe (D) vs John Curtis (R) | 1 | R+32.1 | R+42.0 | ✓ |
| Kansas House | Kali Barnett (D) vs Tracey Mann (R) | 1 | R+29.3 | R+42.3 | ✓ |
| West Virginia Senate | Paula Jean Swearengin (D) vs Shelley Moore Capito (R) | 1 | R+23.7 | R+43.3 | ✓ |
| Wyoming President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 3 | R+39.8 | R+43.4 | ✓ |
| Wyoming House | Lynnette GreyBull (D) vs Liz Cheney (R) | 1 | R+34.7 | R+44.0 | ✓ |
| Wyoming Senate | Merav Ben-David (D) vs Cynthia M. Lummis (R) | 1 | R+36.8 | R+46.1 | ✓ |
| DC President | Joe Biden (D) vs Donald Trump (R) | 2 | D+78.2 | D+86.8 | ✓ |