VotePredictor

Past elections

Every polled Senate, Governor, House and presidential race back to 1998 — the actual result, the polls behind it, and how the model would have called it out-of-sample (trained only on earlier years). Filter by year, race type and state.

Year
Race type
State
2 races

In 2005, the model called 2/2 of these races right (100%) using only pre-2005 data.

RaceMatchupPollsModelResultCall
Virginia GovernorTim Kaine (D) vs Jerry W. Kilgore (R)16D+0.2D+5.7
New Jersey GovernorJon Stevens Corzine (D) vs Douglas R. Forrester (R)29D+6.2D+10.4