Past elections
Every polled Senate, Governor, House and presidential race back to 1998 — the actual result, the polls behind it, and how the model would have called it out-of-sample (trained only on earlier years). Filter by year, race type and state.
Year
Race type
State
| Race | Matchup | Polls | Model | Result | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia Governor | Earl Ray Tomblin (D) vs Bill Maloney (R) | 0 | — | D+2.5 | |
| New York House | Kathy C. Hochul (D) vs Jane L. Corwin (R) | 0 | — | D+5.0 | |
| New York House | David I. Weprin (D) vs Bob Turner (R) | 0 | — | R+5.2 | |
| California House | Janice Hahn (D) vs Craig Huey (R) | 0 | — | D+9.8 | |
| Kentucky Governor | Steve Beshear (D) vs David L. Williams (R) | 0 | — | D+20.4 | |
| Nevada House | Kate Marshall (D) vs Mark E. Amodei (R) | 0 | — | R+21.9 | |
| Mississippi Governor | Johnny L. DuPree (D) vs Phil Bryant (R) | 0 | — | R+22.0 |