Past elections
Every polled Senate, Governor, House and presidential race back to 1998 — the actual result, the polls behind it, and how the model would have called it out-of-sample (trained only on earlier years). Filter by year, race type and state.
Year
Race type
State
| Race | Matchup | Polls | Model | Result | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Governor | Kathleen Babineaux Blanco (D) vs Piyush Amrit Jindal (R) | 0 | — | D+3.9 | |
| Mississippi Governor | Ronnie Musgrove (D) vs Haley Barbour (R) | 0 | — | R+6.8 | |
| Kentucky Governor | Albert Ben Chandler (D) vs Ernest Lee Fletcher (R) | 0 | — | R+10.1 | |
| California Governor | Cruz M. Bustamante (D) vs Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) | 0 | — | R+17.1 |